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Welcome to the New UK Polling Report

Welcome to the New UK Polling Report

Welcome to the new UK Polling Report! As we officially relaunch this morning, it's worth running through the features of our re-engineered site. On the front page you'll see featured articles, below which is our polling average and most recent model forecast. We then list our

By Callum Jones 21 Nov 2022

Handing Over the Baton

Exactly a year ago I announced I was closing down UKPollingReport. I started running it back in 2005 - that was before I was a pollster, when I was an outside observer looking in. Then I joined YouGov and wrote about polling from working inside a company, but not actually

By Anthony Wells 21 Nov 2022
How Real is Reform UK's Resurgence?

How Real is Reform UK's Resurgence?

Much has been made of a resurgence in the polls for Reform UK. Several polls have given the party near all-time highs in Westminster voting intention, with Omnisis putting them on 9%. Whilst several of these are isolated polls, the broader trend does support the idea of a growth in

By Callum Jones 18 Nov 2022
No Popular Options for Hunt's Autumn Statement

Economy

No Popular Options for Hunt's Autumn Statement

As Jeremy Hunt prepares to deliver his Autumn Statement, it's worth considering where public opinion stands on the economy. The FT covered YouGov data on where the public stands across a variety of tax and spend issues. One takeaway is that few individual contractionary measures receive overwhelming support.

By Callum Jones 17 Nov 2022
Rishi Bounce is Over - What's Next for the Conservatives?

Rishi Bounce is Over - What's Next for the Conservatives?

As Rishi Sunak settles in to his new job, British public opinion has subsumed the system shock of a new Prime Minister. The polls did initially close, though there is now a more settled picture as Labour see consistent leads at around 20%. This is demonstrated by the below graph,

By Callum Jones 16 Nov 2022
YouGov Immigration Poll Highlights Political Salience of Channel Crossings

Immigration

YouGov Immigration Poll Highlights Political Salience of Channel Crossings

YouGov have recently produced some research into public attitudes on immigration. Its findings raise a number of conflicting issues, though can broadly be summarised by broad dissatisfaction over the Government's handling of immigration, with more support for a restrictionist policy than for a liberalised one. Looking closer at

By Callum Jones 14 Nov 2022
Sir David Butler, Pioneer of Electoral Science, Dies at 98

Psephology

Sir David Butler, Pioneer of Electoral Science, Dies at 98

Sir David Butler died on 8th November, at the age of 98. Butler was a trailblazer of electoral studies. He first began analysing election results in terms of percentages in 1945, though is perhaps most renowned for his work in developing the concept of swing. Often known as the father

By Callum Jones 09 Nov 2022
Starmer Leads Sunak on Issues-Based Trust

Starmer Leads Sunak on Issues-Based Trust

Recent polling from YouGov has taken a look into how much the public trusts the main party leaders on a variety of key issues and it doesn't make pleasant reading for the Prime Minister. Respondents were asked how much they trusted each leader by issue, with the net

By Callum Jones 07 Nov 2022
Lessons From History: Could the Conservatives Escape Collapse?

Lessons From History: Could the Conservatives Escape Collapse?

It would be an understatement to say Rishi Sunak has inherited a monumental task since taking over as Prime Minister. The country faces a myriad of economic challenges, driven by a war in Europe and exacerbated by the previous administration. Meanwhile, the Conservatives have been left in a similarly historic

By Callum Jones 04 Nov 2022
Is Rishi Really More Popular than Keir?

Is Rishi Really More Popular than Keir?

A recent poll last night from Redfield & Wilton was doing the rounds on social media recently. It showed Rishi Sunak taking a 4% lead over Keir Starmer in who would make the best Prime Minister. As with many polls that gain traction on social media, the result seems counter-intuitive.

By Callum Jones 02 Nov 2022
The State of Polling as Rishi Sunak Becomes PM

The State of Polling as Rishi Sunak Becomes PM

The first polling since Rishi became Prime Minister provides a fairly coherent picture of public opinion. Labour maintain a significant lead over the Conservatives, in the region of the mid twenties. Polls suggest Labour’s support sits at just above 50%, whilst estimates for the Conservatives centre around 24%. Both

By Callum Jones 31 Oct 2022

Closing up shop

Anyone who used to regularly read UKPollingReport has presumably noticed it has been many months since I have updated it. You’ve probably already assumed that it is being wound down, but the time has come to make it official. Over the next few weeks I’ll be archiving some

By Anthony Wells 18 Nov 2021
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