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Where Did Keir Go Wrong?

Andy Burnham

Where Did Keir Go Wrong?

Keiran Pedley  writing for Ipsos asks as Keir Starmer prepares to depart Downing Street, ‘how did it come to this?’  How did someone who won such a landslide majority in July 2024 end up being replaced two years later? How did it all go wrong so quickly?  Pedley points out

By Editor 15 Jul 2026
What "Burnham Bounce"? Andy Has Plummeting Double Digit Negative Approval Rating

Andy Burnham

What "Burnham Bounce"? Andy Has Plummeting Double Digit Negative Approval Rating

Amidst much talk of an upcoming "Burnham Bounce" for Labour it is noticeable that his personal ratings have gone down. A YouGov/Times survey – conducted on 24-25 June, following Keir Starmer’s resignation – shows that Andy Burnham has taken a hit to his personal ratings.  This latest poll

By Editor 11 Jul 2026
Public Dismiss Starmer's Claim Britain is Better After His Premiership

Keir Starmer

Public Dismiss Starmer's Claim Britain is Better After His Premiership

Public opinion towards Starmer's period in Downing Street remains broadly negative; just 14% are satisfied with the way the government has been running the country, compared to 78% who are dissatisfied according to data from Ipsos. 63% of the public disagree that the Starmer government is competent, and

By Editor 06 Jul 2026
Kemi Has Highest Leader Satisfaction Ratings - for Now

Kemi Badenoch

Kemi Has Highest Leader Satisfaction Ratings - for Now

The latest data from Ipsos shows that whilst the Starmer-led government faces intense public criticism, opposition leaders have yet to secure a definitive personal breakthrough with the British electorate. * Kemi Badenoch registers the highest individual satisfaction among the leaders asked about at 28%, with 50% dissatisfied, yielding a net score

By Editor 06 Jul 2026
Makerfield Pollsters Expect Restore to Cost Reform the Election

Makerfield

Makerfield Pollsters Expect Restore to Cost Reform the Election

Averaging out the five constituency polls carried out in Makerfield the Labour lead over Reform was 7 points and on the same basis Restore was polling 7 points on average. Which means it looks like, according to the pollsters, that Rupert Lowe's Restore Party will put Andy Burnham

By Editor 18 Jun 2026
Second Survation Makerfield Poll Confirms Burnham Lead

Second Survation Makerfield Poll Confirms Burnham Lead

Survation has, bravely, conducted a new second poll of the Makerfield constituency. Fieldwork was conducted by telephone among 518 adults in the constituency between May 26 and June 1. The survey was done by telephone interview. Targets for the weighted data were derived from Office for National Statistics data and

By Alexander Hilton 08 Jun 2026
Survation's Makerfield Poll Has Labour's Burnham Leading

Makerfield

Survation's Makerfield Poll Has Labour's Burnham Leading

Survation has conducted a telephone poll in the constituency on behalf of Election Data Ltd.* Fieldwork was conducted by telephone among 504 adults in the constituency between 18th and 22nd May 2026. Andy Burnham leads Robert Kenyon by three points in Survation's first poll of the Makerfield by-election,

By Editor 24 May 2026
'Rebellious Hopeful' Wes Streeting Will Get a Thrashing from Labour Members

'Rebellious Hopeful' Wes Streeting Will Get a Thrashing from Labour Members

YouGov surveyed 706 Labour members about Starmer’s performance as PM and his potential challengers. Wes Streeting in a speech today to the House of Commons on his resignation talked about his "rebellious hope". On the basis of the survey he has no hope. * Most Labour members think

By Editor 20 May 2026
What Would Happen If the Prime Minister Lost Their Seat?

Labour Party

What Would Happen If the Prime Minister Lost Their Seat?

Britain’s unwritten constitution assumes the incumbent Prime Minister gets the first chance to form a government. But what happens if that Prime Minister has been personally ejected by voters in their constituency?

By Alexander Hilton 08 May 2026
Teens Think Happiness and Wellbeing More Important Than Money from a Job

Survation

Teens Think Happiness and Wellbeing More Important Than Money from a Job

According to a survey of 4,560 children aged 13 - 16, across England, Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland conducted by Survation for the BBC, teenagers think 'to feel good about what you do' was the most important thing about any future job. 'happiness' was second,

By Editor 03 May 2026
Latest General Election Projection:  Knife Edge Coalitions

General Election

Latest General Election Projection: Knife Edge Coalitions

Our latest default model projection based on current national polling shows that if a general election was held today, Reform would be the biggest party on 226 seats, 100 seats short of a majority. To put Nigel Farage in Downing Street they would require a coalition with the Conservatives -

By Editor 29 Apr 2026
Local Elections Expectations Management

Local Elections

Local Elections Expectations Management

Writing in the New Statesman Ben Walker speculates that Labour could lose nearly 2,000 seats out of some 2,500 they are defending. This seems catastrophic for Labour and would see the Greens gain almost a 1,000 councillors with Reform expected to take another 1,000 from Labour

By Editor 28 Apr 2026
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