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'Rebellious Hopeful' Wes Streeting Will Get a Thrashing from Labour Members

'Rebellious Hopeful' Wes Streeting Will Get a Thrashing from Labour Members

YouGov surveyed 706 Labour members about Starmer’s performance as PM and his potential challengers. Wes Streeting in a speech today to the House of Commons on his resignation talked about his "rebellious hope". On the basis of the survey he has no hope. * Most Labour members think

By Editor 20 May 2026
What Would Happen If the Prime Minister Lost Their Seat?

Labour Party

What Would Happen If the Prime Minister Lost Their Seat?

Britain’s unwritten constitution assumes the incumbent Prime Minister gets the first chance to form a government. But what happens if that Prime Minister has been personally ejected by voters in their constituency?

By Alexander Hilton 08 May 2026
Teens Think Happiness and Wellbeing More Important Than Money from a Job

Survation

Teens Think Happiness and Wellbeing More Important Than Money from a Job

According to a survey of 4,560 children aged 13 - 16, across England, Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland conducted by Survation for the BBC, teenagers think 'to feel good about what you do' was the most important thing about any future job. 'happiness' was second,

By Editor 03 May 2026
Latest General Election Projection:  Knife Edge Coalitions

General Election

Latest General Election Projection: Knife Edge Coalitions

Our latest default model projection based on current national polling shows that if a general election was held today, Reform would be the biggest party on 226 seats, 100 seats short of a majority. To put Nigel Farage in Downing Street they would require a coalition with the Conservatives -

By Editor 29 Apr 2026
Local Elections Expectations Management

Local Elections

Local Elections Expectations Management

Writing in the New Statesman Ben Walker speculates that Labour could lose nearly 2,000 seats out of some 2,500 they are defending. This seems catastrophic for Labour and would see the Greens gain almost a 1,000 councillors with Reform expected to take another 1,000 from Labour

By Editor 28 Apr 2026
Should Karl Turner Defect to Reform?

Reform UK

Should Karl Turner Defect to Reform?

Karl Turner, the long-serving Labour MP for Kingston upon Hull East (first elected in 2010 and a local born-and-bred Hull man), is already in open conflict with the Labour leadership. As of today (31 March 2026), he has had the Labour whip suspended after repeated public criticism of Starmer’s

By Editor 31 Mar 2026
Yet Again British Public Choose Security Over Liberty

Yet Again British Public Choose Security Over Liberty

"Those who would give up essential Liberty, to purchase a little temporary Safety, deserve neither Liberty nor Safety," argued Benjamin Franklin, despite his wise advice time after time surveys show that on civil liberties questions the general public prefer security over liberty. The Survation Policy Intelligence Unit (SPIU)

By Editor 30 Mar 2026
Can Britons' Economic Pessimism Being Worse than During the 2008 Global Financial Crisis Credibly Be Pinned on Starmer?

Ipsos MORI

Can Britons' Economic Pessimism Being Worse than During the 2008 Global Financial Crisis Credibly Be Pinned on Starmer?

The British public's optimism on the economy has reached a level lower than was seen after the 2008 Global Financial Crisis. According to the Ipsos Economic Optimism Index, in March 2026, the net economic optimism index stood at -66. This figure is even less optimistic than the -64

By Saoirse UCD 25 Mar 2026
Starmer Is In Tune With Voters Over Iran

Survation

Starmer Is In Tune With Voters Over Iran

Since the first strikes were launched by the US and Israel on Iran, public scepticism and reluctance towards the UK’s involvement in the war has grown steadily. In recent polling by Survation, nearly half of respondents (49%) want to remain neutral with a focus on protecting British interests. A

By Caoimhe UCD 19 Mar 2026
Kemi Badenoch’s Bounce Back in Approval Isn't Lifting Her Party

Conservative Party

Kemi Badenoch’s Bounce Back in Approval Isn't Lifting Her Party

The University of Liverpool's Dr David Jeffrey thinks "this is because Kemi's boost in net favourability is not down to people liking her more, but rather fewer people disliking her - and you don't win over voters in opposition by indifference." Dr

By Saoirse UCD 11 Mar 2026
Starmer's Favourability Rating Goes Lower Even Faster Than Tory Predecessors

Ipsos MORI

Starmer's Favourability Rating Goes Lower Even Faster Than Tory Predecessors

Keir Starmer’s approval ratings keep getting worse. In a recent poll by YouGov, 73% of respondents said he was performing “Badly” in office. Meanwhile, Opinium reported that Starmer's net approval rates have dropped to a record low of -49 %, lower than the record low rankings of Boris

By Caoimhe UCD 04 Mar 2026
Has Reform Peaked Too Early?

Opinium

Has Reform Peaked Too Early?

The latest Opinium poll is the first poll in 3 weeks to show Reform back at or above 30%. Most recent polls show that voter intentions in favour of Reform peaked in November and have been in a slow decline since the beginning of the year, currently translating on our

By Saoirse UCD 02 Mar 2026
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