By-Election
A great night for Labour in the West Lancashire by-election without a doubt. Ashley Dalton held the seat with a Conservative to Labour swing of 10.5 points on a turnout of 31.3%. With the usual caveats about extrapolating from a single constituency result, what can we say? Labour
Despite what internal Conservative pollsters might brief the national press, Labour leads on economic trust. This is common across pollsters and remains robust almost independently of question framing. When voters are asked which party is best placed to manage the economy, Labour consistently leads. PeoplePolling and Deltapoll, admittedly with slightly
Nearly half of male university students, 45%, are confident they could label the "nubis" on a diagram of the female reproductive system. The "nubis" doesn't exist. This highlights at least one shortcoming in the applications of polling - people aren't great at
As "Walk-out Wednesday" - where half a million workers are walking out in co-ordinated strikes - gets underway, Ipsos MORI have looked at opinion towards the action. It reiterates that the public is broadly split, with similarly sized blocs both in favour of and opposed to strikers. As
Focaldata
UnHerd's MRP project has recently published the results for an MRP poll on the issue of Brexit regret, conducted with focaldata. In every British constituency, bar three, more voters agree with the statement "Britain was wrong to leave the European Union" than disagree. The overall national
Ipsos have published their most recent political monitor, and one finding has been doing the rounds on Twitter. Sunak's net satisfaction now sits at -29%, down 8% on December. Meanwhile Starmer has overtaken Sunak on the question of who would make the best Prime Minister, based on a
PeoplePolling
As the week comes to an end, Labour's poll lead seems to be holding steady, if not increasing. Only Deltapoll has the Conservatives making gains - of 2% on their last poll. Looking at where each pollster now puts 2019 Conservatives can provide more context to this. Most
Portland have commissioned new polling, of over 9,000 people, to investigate generational divides. As well as the comforting conclusion that our society isn't as polarised as some headlines might suggest, they lead with the finding that people are holding progressive values for longer - focussing on the
Redfield & Wilton
With strikes and an acute winter health crisis, the NHS has dominated media attention over the past month. It therefore comes as little surprise to see the issue climb the ranks of various salience trackers, with Ipsos MORI's issues index today and Redfield & Wilton's poll
As some calls emerge in the national press for the re-introduction of licenses for dog ownership, YouGov's daily question has found strong public support for the policy. 76% of voters would support the measures, with just 17% in opposition. Support is fairly universal, and is more correlated with
Redfield & Wilton
As the government is embroiled in a fresh batch of sleaze allegations, Rishi Sunak won't be able to take any comfort from the polling. Since becoming Prime Minister, his personal approvals have been on a consistent decline; this is replicated across pollsters, though Redfield & Wilton's
Strikes
With inflation shooting up over the course of 2022 – reaching as high as 11.1% in October – many Britons are feeling the pinch in their pay packets. So too will businesses, as cost of living pay increases will need to be higher in order to prevent employees receiving a real-terms
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