Averaging out the five constituency polls carried out in Makerfield the Labour lead over Reform was 7 points and on the same basis Restore was polling 7 points on average. Which means it looks like, according to the pollsters, that Rupert Lowe's Restore Party will put Andy Burnham into parliament and possibly into Downing Street.
The count is expected to be close tonight.
Survation has, bravely, conducted a new second poll of the Makerfield constituency. Fieldwork was conducted by telephone among 518 adults in the constituency between May 26 and June 1. The survey was done by telephone interview. Targets for the weighted data were derived from Office for National Statistics data and
Survation has conducted a telephone poll in the constituency on behalf of Election Data Ltd.* Fieldwork was conducted by telephone among 504 adults in the constituency between 18th and 22nd May 2026. Andy Burnham leads Robert Kenyon by three points in Survation's first poll of the Makerfield by-election,
YouGov surveyed 706 Labour members about Starmer’s performance as PM and his potential challengers. Wes Streeting in a speech today to the House of Commons on his resignation talked about his "rebellious hope". On the basis of the survey he has no hope. * Most Labour members think
Britain’s unwritten constitution assumes the incumbent Prime Minister gets the first chance to form a government. But what happens if that Prime Minister has been personally ejected by voters in their constituency?
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