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Public Broadly Support Right to Strike, Just Not Over Christmas

Public Broadly Support Right to Strike, Just Not Over Christmas

Recent polling has produced a somewhat messy picture on public support for striking industries. Two surveys published over recent days, by Redfield & Wilton and Opinium, find voters are more likely to endorse the right to strike than not across industries. Although the respondents in the latter poll were more

By Callum Jones 07 Dec 2022
Labour has Diagnosed a Problem, Have They Found the Right Solution?

Labour has Diagnosed a Problem, Have They Found the Right Solution?

Reading through Labour's report by their Commission on the UK's Future, one message stands out from their polling. There is overwhelming pessimism and dissatisfaction in Britain's institutions and prospects. Luckily for us, the party has identified a solution in the form of a sweeping

By Callum Jones 06 Dec 2022
The Conservatives are Fighting a Losing Battle on Private School Tax Exemptions

The Conservatives are Fighting a Losing Battle on Private School Tax Exemptions

Private school funding is back on the political agenda. As Labour outlined plans to scrap their favourable tax status, Conservatives have rushed to the defence of private schools. All the while jeered on by media headlines of "class warfare". The issue for those supporting the Conservatives, is that

By Callum Jones 02 Dec 2022
Lessons From City of Chester By-Election

Lessons From City of Chester By-Election

As the City of Chester result is dissected by pundits and punters alike, one thing is clear: nobody's surprised. Labour won on a solid margin, the swing was, broadly, in line with the national expectation and turnout was low - it came in at 41.2%. In the

By Callum Jones 02 Dec 2022
City of Chester By-Election Preview

City of Chester By-Election Preview

Voters in the City of Chester head to the polls today, as the constituency faces a by-election following former MP Chris Matheson's resignation. The seat currently holds an 11% majority for Labour and on national polling, that's obviously only expected to increase. With this in mind,

By Callum Jones 01 Dec 2022
Why the Liberal Democrats Might Be Content to Lose Support

Why the Liberal Democrats Might Be Content to Lose Support

In the midst of a volatile polling landscape, one trend has flown somewhat under the radar. Despite the Conservatives' plummeting popularity, one expected beneficiary has been struggling to make headway as Liberal Democrat numbers have entered a steady decline. This is apparent if their various vote share results are

By Callum Jones 30 Nov 2022
Why Our Predictions Come Unstuck in Scotland

Scotland

Why Our Predictions Come Unstuck in Scotland

There have been some valid criticisms on Twitter raised of a number of our seat predictions in Scotland. These point to shortcomings in our model that we're certainly looking to address. As a newly relaunched site, still in beta as it says on the masthead at the top,

By Callum Jones 29 Nov 2022
Tale of Two Types of Quitters: Young Tory MPs and Older Tory MPs

Tale of Two Types of Quitters: Young Tory MPs and Older Tory MPs

Over the past few days there have been a flurry of Conservative MPs announcing their intention to stand down ahead of the next election. The Spectator's count has the current total of MPs standing down at 24, evenly split between Labour and the Conservatives. Though as James Heale

By Callum Jones 29 Nov 2022
Lord Ashcroft's Polling Spells Trouble For Tories

Lord Ashcroft's Polling Spells Trouble For Tories

On Sunday, Lord Ashcroft published his aptly titled "They Think It's all Over" report and its headlines highlight what is clear to anybody who's read a poll over the past two months. The Conservative Party is struggling. The pollster surmised his report in the

By Callum Jones 28 Nov 2022
Hancock's King of the Jungle Hopes Hanging by a Thread

Hancock's King of the Jungle Hopes Hanging by a Thread

Ipsos MORI have released polling on who the public back to take the crown in the latest series of I'm a Celebrity... and it looks like Matt Hancock is very much on borrowed time. He's ranked 4th out of the 5 remaining campmates, only beating out

By Callum Jones 25 Nov 2022
Voters are United in Concern for the Economy, Less Over Immigration

Immigration

Voters are United in Concern for the Economy, Less Over Immigration

Ipsos MORI have released their issues index for November, with the headline finding that the main issues to Brits are economic. 45% of respondents rank the Economy as one the most important issue facing the country, with 45% also pointed to inflation specifically. This marks the second month in a

By Callum Jones 25 Nov 2022
Sturgeon's Supreme Court Setback Isn't All Bad for SNP

Nicola Sturgeon

Sturgeon's Supreme Court Setback Isn't All Bad for SNP

The Supreme Court yesterday dealt Nicola Sturgeon's plans for a second independence referendum a significant blow by denying a right to indyref2 without Westminster consent. There are a number of reasons why the First Minister may not be so disappointed with the verdict. Firstly, despite her public plans,

By Callum Jones 24 Nov 2022
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