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Lee Anderson Should Think Twice Before Waging a Culture War

Trans Rights

Lee Anderson Should Think Twice Before Waging a Culture War

Prior to Lee Anderson's promotion to Party Deputy Chair, he argued at the New Culture Forum that the Tories' 2019 victory was down to Corbyn and Brexit. He continued that in the next election "we’ll have to think of something else. It’ll probably be

By Callum Jones 16 Feb 2023
Replacing Nicola Sturgeon a More Pressing Challenge for SNP than Current Polling

Scotland

Replacing Nicola Sturgeon a More Pressing Challenge for SNP than Current Polling

In the wake of Nicola Sturgeon's surprise resignation, commentary has been quick to circle on the declining fortunes of Sturgeon, independence and the SNP in polls. Whilst the party has certainly had a tough time of late, the evidence behind these headlines is hardly conclusive as yet. What&

By Callum Jones 15 Feb 2023
Voters Don't Seem to Know What Labour Stands For - Is This a Problem for Starmer?

Redfield & Wilton

Voters Don't Seem to Know What Labour Stands For - Is This a Problem for Starmer?

The latest voting intention poll from Omnisis' included some intriguing questions on current perceptions of Labour party policy. Broadly, the public reports very limited knowledge of Keir Starmer's platform - just 33% said they know what he stands for. When this is probed further by policy areas,

By Callum Jones 14 Feb 2023
Sturgeon Still Scotland's Most Popular Politician Despite 12% Margin Against Independence

Scotland

Sturgeon Still Scotland's Most Popular Politician Despite 12% Margin Against Independence

A recent finding from Panelbase, that 40% of Scottish voters wanted Nicola Sturgeon to resign, made headlines in the national press this weekend. Even though more voters in the same poll, 45%, wanted Sturgeon to stay. The Times also reported Kate Forbes, on 7%, was "the most popular choice&

By Callum Jones 13 Feb 2023
"Worst Tory Result" in West Lancashire Was Actually Better Than Forecast

By-Election

"Worst Tory Result" in West Lancashire Was Actually Better Than Forecast

A great night for Labour in the West Lancashire by-election without a doubt. Ashley Dalton held the seat with a Conservative to Labour swing of 10.5 points on a turnout of 31.3%. With the usual caveats about extrapolating from a single constituency result, what can we say? Labour

By Frank D'Anconia 10 Feb 2023
How Robust is Starmer's Economy Lead?

How Robust is Starmer's Economy Lead?

Despite what internal Conservative pollsters might brief the national press, Labour leads on economic trust. This is common across pollsters and remains robust almost independently of question framing. When voters are asked which party is best placed to manage the economy, Labour consistently leads. PeoplePolling and Deltapoll, admittedly with slightly

By Callum Jones 03 Feb 2023
Savanta Survey Signals Students' Sex Struggles

Savanta Survey Signals Students' Sex Struggles

Nearly half of male university students, 45%, are confident they could label the "nubis" on a diagram of the female reproductive system. The "nubis" doesn't exist. This highlights at least one shortcoming in the applications of polling - people aren't great at

By Callum Jones 02 Feb 2023
Support for Strikes Increases as Public Still Split

Support for Strikes Increases as Public Still Split

As "Walk-out Wednesday" - where half a million workers are walking out in co-ordinated strikes - gets underway, Ipsos MORI have looked at opinion towards the action. It reiterates that the public is broadly split, with similarly sized blocs both in favour of and opposed to strikers. As

By Callum Jones 01 Feb 2023
MRP Poll Finds Brexit Regret Extends to All but Three British Constituencies

Focaldata

MRP Poll Finds Brexit Regret Extends to All but Three British Constituencies

UnHerd's MRP project has recently published the results for an MRP poll on the issue of Brexit regret, conducted with focaldata. In every British constituency, bar three, more voters agree with the statement "Britain was wrong to leave the European Union" than disagree. The overall national

By Callum Jones 31 Jan 2023
As Sunak's Personal Decline Continues, Is Starmer more Cameron than Blair?

As Sunak's Personal Decline Continues, Is Starmer more Cameron than Blair?

Ipsos have published their most recent political monitor, and one finding has been doing the rounds on Twitter. Sunak's net satisfaction now sits at -29%, down 8% on December. Meanwhile Starmer has overtaken Sunak on the question of who would make the best Prime Minister, based on a

By Callum Jones 30 Jan 2023
Conservatives Lose Half of 2019 Voters, Most Lost Voters Now "Don't Know"

PeoplePolling

Conservatives Lose Half of 2019 Voters, Most Lost Voters Now "Don't Know"

As the week comes to an end, Labour's poll lead seems to be holding steady, if not increasing. Only Deltapoll has the Conservatives making gains - of 2% on their last poll. Looking at where each pollster now puts 2019 Conservatives can provide more context to this. Most

By Callum Jones 27 Jan 2023
Portland Poll Puts Polarisation into Context

Portland Poll Puts Polarisation into Context

Portland have commissioned new polling, of over 9,000 people, to investigate generational divides. As well as the comforting conclusion that our society isn't as polarised as some headlines might suggest, they lead with the finding that people are holding progressive values for longer - focussing on the

By Callum Jones 26 Jan 2023
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