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New Year Polls Converge on 21% Labour Lead

YouGov

New Year Polls Converge on 21% Labour Lead

Today, three more pollsters have released their first results of 2023 and together with Redfield & Wilton's result from earlier this week there is a surprising degree of convergence. Three of the four put Labour on 46%, with Redfield & Wilton saying 47%. The Conservative estimates converge on

By Callum Jones 06 Jan 2023
Voters Approve of Starmer Over Sunak, Why do They Prefer Rishi as PM?

Redfield & Wilton

Voters Approve of Starmer Over Sunak, Why do They Prefer Rishi as PM?

As set-piece speeches from both party leaders kick off the political new year, it's worth looking further into where the public stands on the two leaders. Redfield & Wilton's latest tracker presents a seemingly contradictory picture: while the public approves of Keir Starmer, with a net

By Callum Jones 05 Jan 2023
Just 6% of Voters Identify as Socialists. Is this a Problem for Starmer?

Opinium

Just 6% of Voters Identify as Socialists. Is this a Problem for Starmer?

On the surface, new proprietary polling from think tank Millbank, conducted with Opinium seems like it would be bad news for Labour. They find British voters voters are ideologically fragmented, especially on the left, with the largest single bloc belonging to conservatives. Just 6% of voters say they are socialists,

By Callum Jones 04 Jan 2023
Most Voters Say Government Should Focus on NHS Waiting Lists and Tackling Inflation, Only Tory Voters Prioritise Immigration

Immigration

Most Voters Say Government Should Focus on NHS Waiting Lists and Tackling Inflation, Only Tory Voters Prioritise Immigration

As we enter a new year in politics, the Government still faces the same challenges. Polling on the nation's political agenda, conducted by PeoplePolling for Policy Exchange, has found that voters put the top 3 issues facing the government as reducing NHS waiting lists, tackling inflation and building

By Callum Jones 03 Jan 2023
One Step Forward, Two Steps Back for Tories in Recent Polls

One Step Forward, Two Steps Back for Tories in Recent Polls

As the year comes to a close, one final flurry of polling doesn't much help in clearing up where the public stands. Three polls, from Omnisis, People Polling and Techne, all paint different pictures of the direction of travel. Omnisis give Labour a 25% lead (+5), People Polling

By Callum Jones 23 Dec 2022
Savanta Shows Close Independence Contest as SNP Lose Ground to Labour

Savanta

Savanta Shows Close Independence Contest as SNP Lose Ground to Labour

Just as the polls seemed to settle on a solid margin for Independence, Savanta has released research suggesting a far closer state of public opinion. This ended the six-poll streak in favour of independence, giving "No" a margin of 2%. With undecideds excluded, it gave Yes 49% to

By Callum Jones 22 Dec 2022
Voters Want Closer EU Relations, Why Aren't National Parties Bothered?

Redfield & Wilton

Voters Want Closer EU Relations, Why Aren't National Parties Bothered?

Voters increasingly regret Brexit and it's not difficult to understand why. The government's popularity is at a staggering low, only matched by levels of confidence in the economy. It's no surprise that Brexit, a policy associated with this government, is now viewed with scepticism

By Callum Jones 21 Dec 2022
Starmer Fails to Inspire Despite Strong Labour Performance

Ipsos MORI

Starmer Fails to Inspire Despite Strong Labour Performance

As the polling continues to paint a conflicted picture on national party shares, one particularly interesting piece from Ipsos MORI released yesterday only adds to this. They put Labour on 49% to the Conservatives 23%; a far cry from the 45% and 32% recorded by Deltapoll over the same fieldwork

By Callum Jones 20 Dec 2022
Are Reform Really on 9% When Voters Don't Know What They Stand For?

Opinium

Are Reform Really on 9% When Voters Don't Know What They Stand For?

Close followers of polling, or readers of this site, may well have spotted that Reform UK seem to be in something of a renaissance. The party has maintained a strong performance, reaching near double digits, all without the much-prophesied return of their totemic leader. And yet there are reasons to

By Callum Jones 19 Dec 2022
What Can We Learn From Stretford and Urmston By-Election?

By-Election

What Can We Learn From Stretford and Urmston By-Election?

As Stretford and Urmston declared in the early hours of the morning, Andrew Western is the Labour Party's newest MP. The final result saw Labour on 69.6% (+9.3) with the Conservatives sinking to 15.9% (-11.7). This showing was the worst for the party in

By Callum Jones 16 Dec 2022
Stretford and Urmston By-Election Preview

Stretford and Urmston By-Election Preview

As politicos and pundits get set for a second by-election in a fortnight, it's worth taking stock of what's in store. Stretford and Urmston is a safe Labour seat. It's gone Labour in every election since it was formed in 1997, and the party

By Callum Jones 15 Dec 2022
Housing and Crime Top of Londoners' Concerns

Opinium

Housing and Crime Top of Londoners' Concerns

Samuel Kasumu, a prospective Conservative candidate for Mayor of London, has had a piece of London polling commissioned from Opinium that gives some insight into the capital's current concerns. In a press release, Kasumu emphasises the strategic significance of London's most salient issues: he highlights housing.

By Callum Jones 14 Dec 2022
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