Opinium
Close followers of polling, or readers of this site, may well have spotted that Reform UK seem to be in something of a renaissance. The party has maintained a strong performance, reaching near double digits, all without the much-prophesied return of their totemic leader. And yet there are reasons to
By-Election
As Stretford and Urmston declared in the early hours of the morning, Andrew Western is the Labour Party's newest MP. The final result saw Labour on 69.6% (+9.3) with the Conservatives sinking to 15.9% (-11.7). This showing was the worst for the party in
As politicos and pundits get set for a second by-election in a fortnight, it's worth taking stock of what's in store. Stretford and Urmston is a safe Labour seat. It's gone Labour in every election since it was formed in 1997, and the party
Opinium
Samuel Kasumu, a prospective Conservative candidate for Mayor of London, has had a piece of London polling commissioned from Opinium that gives some insight into the capital's current concerns. In a press release, Kasumu emphasises the strategic significance of London's most salient issues: he highlights housing.
Strikes
Two new polls on British attitudes towards striking industries provide for a telling insight into opinion on strikes. Savanta finds 13% net support for strikes, down 8% on October. Taking the most comparable figure from Ipsos MORI's poll, net support sits at -3%, down 19% from September. This
Savanta
Savanta have recently published the results of an MRP poll conducted alongside Electoral Calculus and it makes gripping reading. The poll gives Labour 482 seats to the Conservatives' 69. That's a majority of 314. Amongst the headline findings are a Conservative wipe-out North of Lincolnshire. Naturally the
YouGov
YouGov have today released a new poll with The Times, which sheds more light on Scottish public opinion. The headline result is a 5% margin, with Yes on 47% to the 42% of No. This marks a significant pro-independence shift on polling from previous months. Interestingly, it finds that the
As Friday saw a flurry of polls released, some more sensational than others, it's worth taking stock of the state of party polling in the long-term. Despite a general narrative of a steady Conservative recovery, buoyed by Conservative over-interpretations of Savanta's latest result, polling numbers have
Electoral campaign group Win as One have set out their stall in The Guardian ahead of an official launch on Monday. The group hopes to co-ordinate progressive voters and candidates to secure a Labour-led government at the next election. They argue that Labour's lead is undermined by institutional
Environment
As John Kerry is set to deliver the 2022 Fullbright Lecture, Ipsos MORI has conducted polling to mark the event. Researchers lead with the finding that both the UK and US publics think the costs of climate change will outweigh the costs of dealing with it, however there is a
Scottish Independence
At PMQs yesterday the newly elected SNP Leader in Westminster, Stephen Flynn, was buoyed by news of a poll showing "Scottish independence has now hit 56% and support for the Scottish National party sits north of 50%". The poll in question came from Ipsos MORI, and you can
Favourability
Ipsos MORI have published their Political Pulse report for November. The headline finding is that a majority of voters still disapprove of the Conservative Party, with the figure now at 52%. Perhaps more strikingly, though, is the number with a favourable view: just 20% view the party positively – less than
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