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Tale of Two Types of Quitters: Young Tory MPs and Older Tory MPs

Tale of Two Types of Quitters: Young Tory MPs and Older Tory MPs

Over the past few days there have been a flurry of Conservative MPs announcing their intention to stand down ahead of the next election. The Spectator's count has the current total of MPs standing down at 24, evenly split between Labour and the Conservatives. Though as James Heale

By Callum Jones 29 Nov 2022
Lord Ashcroft's Polling Spells Trouble For Tories

Lord Ashcroft's Polling Spells Trouble For Tories

On Sunday, Lord Ashcroft published his aptly titled "They Think It's all Over" report and its headlines highlight what is clear to anybody who's read a poll over the past two months. The Conservative Party is struggling. The pollster surmised his report in the

By Callum Jones 28 Nov 2022
Hancock's King of the Jungle Hopes Hanging by a Thread

Hancock's King of the Jungle Hopes Hanging by a Thread

Ipsos MORI have released polling on who the public back to take the crown in the latest series of I'm a Celebrity... and it looks like Matt Hancock is very much on borrowed time. He's ranked 4th out of the 5 remaining campmates, only beating out

By Callum Jones 25 Nov 2022
Voters are United in Concern for the Economy, Less Over Immigration

Immigration

Voters are United in Concern for the Economy, Less Over Immigration

Ipsos MORI have released their issues index for November, with the headline finding that the main issues to Brits are economic. 45% of respondents rank the Economy as one the most important issue facing the country, with 45% also pointed to inflation specifically. This marks the second month in a

By Callum Jones 25 Nov 2022
Sturgeon's Supreme Court Setback Isn't All Bad for SNP

Nicola Sturgeon

Sturgeon's Supreme Court Setback Isn't All Bad for SNP

The Supreme Court yesterday dealt Nicola Sturgeon's plans for a second independence referendum a significant blow by denying a right to indyref2 without Westminster consent. There are a number of reasons why the First Minister may not be so disappointed with the verdict. Firstly, despite her public plans,

By Callum Jones 24 Nov 2022
Voters Don't Trust Politicians

Trust

Voters Don't Trust Politicians

Ipsos MORI have published their latest Veracity Index survey on public trust in various professions, and it doesn't reflect well on our elected officials. Trust in politicians has fallen by 7% since 2021, putting the proportion of respondents trusting them at 12%. This is the lowest figure on

By Callum Jones 23 Nov 2022
Why Conservatives are Conflicted Over Housing

Housing

Why Conservatives are Conflicted Over Housing

As a backbench rebellion has forced the government to pull a vote on housing targets, the Conservative Party has found itself in a public debate over planning and broader strategy. Paul Goodman at ConservativeHome has written a good article on the party's dilemma. Recent polling from Ben W.

By Callum Jones 23 Nov 2022
Will Jeremy Hunt Really Lose His Seat?

Psephology

Will Jeremy Hunt Really Lose His Seat?

Those of you who follow our Twitter (do give it a look), or have been making use of our constituency database, may well have noticed that our model is forecasting that Jeremy Hunt will lose his seat on current polling, albeit on the narrowest of margins. Considering he's

By Callum Jones 22 Nov 2022
Why Do Voters Regret Brexit?

European Union

Why Do Voters Regret Brexit?

The confirmation that Britain is entering a recession has left experts and pundits scrambling to explain how we got here. One poll from YouGov has added fuel to the fire of one explanation, with the headline finding that 56% of voters think Britain was wrong to leave the European Union.

By Callum Jones 22 Nov 2022
Welcome to the New UK Polling Report

Welcome to the New UK Polling Report

Welcome to the new UK Polling Report! As we officially relaunch this morning, it's worth running through the features of our re-engineered site. On the front page you'll see featured articles, below which is our polling average and most recent model forecast. We then list our

By Callum Jones 21 Nov 2022

Handing Over the Baton

Exactly a year ago I announced I was closing down UKPollingReport. I started running it back in 2005 - that was before I was a pollster, when I was an outside observer looking in. Then I joined YouGov and wrote about polling from working inside a company, but not actually

By Anthony Wells 21 Nov 2022
How Real is Reform UK's Resurgence?

How Real is Reform UK's Resurgence?

Much has been made of a resurgence in the polls for Reform UK. Several polls have given the party near all-time highs in Westminster voting intention, with Omnisis putting them on 9%. Whilst several of these are isolated polls, the broader trend does support the idea of a growth in

By Callum Jones 18 Nov 2022
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