Conservative Party
The University of Liverpool's Dr David Jeffrey thinks "this is because Kemi's boost in net favourability is not down to people liking her more, but rather fewer people disliking her - and you don't win over voters in opposition by indifference." Dr
Focaldata
It will probably be worth all the polling companies who conduct MRP (all listed helpfully here by Peter Ingelsby) coming together to do a post mortem after the event to diagnose the cause of the large spread / range of forecasts. This is separate, but related to the range of vote
Reform UK
Ipsos' monthly pulse is out and it reinforces just how disenchanted the electorate are with politics and politicians in general. Leading Tories and Rishi Sunak in particular are all in double-digit negativity territory with voters. PM Rishi Sunak is held in lower esteem by the voters than than even
Conservative Party
In the Canadian general election of 1993, support for the governing Progressive Conservative Party collapsed, and the party's representation in the Ottawa House of Commons dropped from an absolute majority of seats to only two. Meanwhile, the Reform Party took Western Canada and became the dominant conservative party
Rwanda
New research from polling firm Savanta for the Daily Telegraph suggests there's been a significant drop in Conservative voters believing the Rwanda scheme will reduce small boats crossings, ahead of a series of key parliamentary votes. Just one third (34%) of 2019 Conservative voters say the scheme to
Conservative Party
Above is the UK Polling Report default forecast predicting Ashfield to go Labour with a comfortable double digit margin. Ashfield was in 2019 an unusual seat as the result below shows: "Other" was the Ashfield Independent Jason Zadrozny, who is expected to run again and has high name
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