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Forget 1997, the Next General Election Could Be Canada 1993

Reform UK

Forget 1997, the Next General Election Could Be Canada 1993

In the Canadian general election of 1993, support for the governing Progressive Conservative Party collapsed, and the party's representation in the Ottawa House of Commons dropped from an absolute majority of seats to only two. Meanwhile, the Reform Party took Western Canada and became the dominant conservative party

By Frank D'Anconia 21 Mar 2024
Rwanda Policy Has Already Failed Politically

Savanta

Rwanda Policy Has Already Failed Politically

New research from polling firm Savanta for the Daily Telegraph suggests there's been a significant drop in Conservative voters believing the Rwanda scheme will reduce small boats crossings, ahead of a series of key parliamentary votes. Just one third (34%) of 2019 Conservative voters say the scheme to

By Frank D'Anconia 20 Mar 2024
Is Lee Anderson Actually Better Off in Ashfield Not Running as a Tory?

Reform UK

Is Lee Anderson Actually Better Off in Ashfield Not Running as a Tory?

Above is the UK Polling Report default forecast predicting Ashfield to go Labour with a comfortable double digit margin. Ashfield was in 2019 an unusual seat as the result below shows: "Other" was the Ashfield Independent Jason Zadrozny, who is expected to run again and has high name

By Frank D'Anconia 05 Mar 2024
Labour Still Well-Poised for Rutherglen Despite 11% National SNP Lead

By-Election

Labour Still Well-Poised for Rutherglen Despite 11% National SNP Lead

Polling from YouGov, released today, shows the SNP extending their lead over Labour by 7 points to 11%. Although it will certainly be well received in SNP circles, for the moment it doesn't look like it will be enough to make them favourites in the upcoming Rutherglen and

By Callum Jones 15 Sep 2023
Sunak's Personal Approval Crumbles in Wake of Concrete Crisis

Sunak's Personal Approval Crumbles in Wake of Concrete Crisis

After a relatively stable period for the polls over recess, the concrete crisis looks to have mustered some movement. Although only Redfield & Wilton, so far, has shown a shift in overall voter intention, their most recent poll saw Labour gain 4%, Rishi's personal approval ratings have been

By Callum Jones 12 Sep 2023
Public Support for Voter ID Unmoved by Controversy

YouGov

Public Support for Voter ID Unmoved by Controversy

The roll-out of voter ID in 2023 has not come without controversy. In March, UNISON called the move "a threat to our democracy", in the May local elections there were reports of voters being denied access to ballot boxes, and now a damning report has found that it

By Callum Jones 11 Sep 2023
British Voters the Least Likely to Say Work is Important to Them

British Voters the Least Likely to Say Work is Important to Them

British voters were less likely to rank work as an important part of their life than those in twenty three other countries included in a recent study. Research from Kings College London and the World Values Survey suggests 73% of Britons view work as important to their lives. This can

By Callum Jones 07 Sep 2023
Vast Majority of Voters Agree the Government is "Tired" and "Led by Events"

Vast Majority of Voters Agree the Government is "Tired" and "Led by Events"

Keir Starmer has just completed a reshuffle of his top team, bringing some fresh blood into his party's leadership, and it looks like the government could do with following suit. Polling from YouGov revealed that an overwhelming majority of voters, some 84%, think that the government is "

By Callum Jones 05 Sep 2023
Conservative Voters Overwhelmingly Support Security State Expansion

Conservative Voters Overwhelmingly Support Security State Expansion

Despite the best wishes of some on the libertarian wing of the parliamentary Conservative Party, the party's core voters are overwhelmingly supportive of authoritarian measures to enhance security powers. Even ID cards, much maligned by Tory leaders past, experience far higher levels of support amongst Conservative voters than

By Callum Jones 01 Sep 2023
A Tale of Two Cities: ULEZ Expansion Divides Londoners by Location

London

A Tale of Two Cities: ULEZ Expansion Divides Londoners by Location

After much debate, Sadiq Khan's flagship ULEZ expansion finally came into effect yesterday, and Londoners are divided on their response to the policy. In the city as a whole, the policy does experience net positive support - of +5 points. This, however, is short of a majority, with

By Callum Jones 30 Aug 2023
All to Play for in Mid Bedfordshire By-Election

All to Play for in Mid Bedfordshire By-Election

With Nadine Dorries finally finding the time to send off her resignation letter, we will soon have a date for the Mid Bedfordshire By-Election that's been months in the making. Despite all this time, the outcome is not looking any more assured. Going by recent by-election results, you

By Callum Jones 29 Aug 2023
Voters Want More Homes to Be Built... Yet Even Young Voters Aren't Keen on Developing the Green Belt

Voters Want More Homes to Be Built... Yet Even Young Voters Aren't Keen on Developing the Green Belt

Although British voters overwhelmingly agree that housing is unaffordable, by a margin of 55% to 22%, and generally want more homes need to be built, by 45% to 27%, there is strong support for retaining the green belt "even if it restricts the country's ability to meet

By Callum Jones 18 Aug 2023
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