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MORI show Ken ahead

A London voting intention poll by Ipsos MORI for Unison has voting intentions has topline voting intentions of JOHNSON 38%, LIVINGSTONE 41%, PADDICK 12%. Once second preferences are reallocated Ken Livingstone leads by 6% over Johnson. It was conducted between the 23rd and 24th April. Ipsos MORI also asked a

By Anthony Wells 25 Apr 2008

YouGov - Tories take 18 point lead

YouGov's monthly poll for the Telegraph shows a massive 18 point lead over Labour. The full topline figures are CON 44%(nc), LAB 26%(-2), LDEM 17%(nc). The poll was conducted between the 21st and 23rd of April, so while the 10p row was at its height,

By Anthony Wells 24 Apr 2008

London's Westminster voting intentions

The mruk poll in the Sunday Times also included a voting intention question for the Westminster elections. Strictly speaking it's not a proper mruk poll of London voting intentions, since it there is no proper likelihood of voting filter (we can't be certain that people who

By Anthony Wells 22 Apr 2008

More on that mruk poll

On Sunday there was a mruk Cello poll on the London elections and we needed to be a bit wary as we had neither track record nor methodological details to judge it by. Well, their full tables are now up on their website here so we can have a proper

By Anthony Wells 22 Apr 2008

ICM show sharp drop in Tory lead

ICM's monthly poll for the Guardian has voting intention figures, with changes from their last poll, of CON 39%(-4), LAB 34%(+2), LDEM 19%(+1). It was conducted between the 18th and 20th of April. It is obviously a sharp reduction in the Tory lead when the

By Anthony Wells 21 Apr 2008

Boris ahead with 10 days to go

YouGov's weekly Mayoral election tracker for the Evening Standard has topline voting intentions of JOHNSON 44%(-1), LIVINGSTONE 37%(-2), PADDICK 12%(nc). Once second preferences are reallocated the result is JOHNSON 53%, LIVINGSTONE 47%. Johnson's lead has fallen from the heights it reached earlier in

By Anthony Wells 21 Apr 2008

Sunday Polls

There are two polls in the Sunday papers. Firstly there is a nat-rep Populus poll for the Sunday Mirror. The topline voting intention figures, with changes from Populus's last poll, are CON 40%(+1), LAB 30%(-3), LDEM 19%(+2). The poll was conducted between 16th and 17th

By Anthony Wells 19 Apr 2008

Political insiders rate the top teams

Over on PoliticsHome there is a daily poll of around 100 'political insiders' - political editors, columnists, MPs, heads of think tanks and so on (there is a list of 'outed' members here but lots are anonymous). The theory behind it is not to reflect the

By Anthony Wells 18 Apr 2008

If not Brown, then who?

As usual the YouGov poll in the Sunday Times contained a wonderful grab-bag of issues. One that got some coverage in the papers was a question asking how people would vote if Tony Blair was still Prime Minister - it is of course pure media fluff given that Tony Blair

By Anthony Wells 14 Apr 2008

YouGov - Boris's lead halves

Boris Johnson's lead in the latest YouGov poll for the Evening Standard has halved. The topline voting intention figures, with changes from last week, are JOHNSON 45%(-4), LIVINGSTONE 39%(+3), PADDICK 12%(+2). Re-allocating second preference votes increases Johnson's lead slightly, putting him 8 points

By Anthony Wells 14 Apr 2008

MORI put Boris ahead in mayoral race

Conservative Home is reporting that the MORI poll we'd been expecting in tomorrow is, in fact, a London mayoral poll. It apparently shows voting intention with second preferences reallocated as Johnson 51%, Livingstone 49%. It's the first MORI poll putting Boris ahead, although given that their

By Anthony Wells 12 Apr 2008

YouGov show Tories maintaining large lead

A new YouGov poll for the Sunday Times has voting intention figures, with charges from their last poll, of CON 44%(+1), LAB 28%(-1), LDEM 17%(nc). The poll would have been conducted between the 10th and 11th of April, so the fieldwork would have co-incided with the Bank

By Anthony Wells 12 Apr 2008
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