YouGov - Boris's lead halves

Boris Johnson's lead in the latest YouGov poll for the Evening Standard has halved. The topline voting intention figures, with changes from last week, are JOHNSON 45%(-4), LIVINGSTONE 39%(+3), PADDICK 12%(+2). Re-allocating second preference votes increases Johnson's lead slightly, putting him 8 points ahead 54% to 46%. The poll was conducted between 9th and 11th April, so was after the Newsnight debate between the mayoral candidates, in which most people seem to feel that Boris did badly. YouGov found 40% of respondents agreeing with the statement "Boris Johnson is not serious enough to be an effective Mayor of London" - this is up from 34% a week ago.

Co-incidentally the lead in first preferences is now the same from YouGov and MORI, though the projections for second preferences are still very different. Perhaps more significantly, so are the trends - MORI's figures are pretty static, YouGov are showing the race getting much closer...

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