London's Westminster voting intentions

The mruk poll in the Sunday Times also included a voting intention question for the Westminster elections. Strictly speaking it's not a proper mruk poll of London voting intentions, since it there is no proper likelihood of voting filter (we can't be certain that people who say they are likely to vote in the London mayoral election would also say they are likely to vote in a general election, though I suspect they probably would), but it's all we've got. The figures, with changes from the general election, are CON 41%(+9), LAB 35%(-4), LDEM 18%(-4).

If repeated at a general election the Conservatives would gain 14 seats in London, 11 from Labour and 3 from the Lib Dems: Finchley & Golders Green, Croydon Central (notionally), Battersea, Carshalton and Wallington, Harrow East, Sutton and Cheam, Richmond Park, Hendon, Brentford and Isleworth, Eltham, Westminster North, Poplar and Limehouse, Tooting, Hampstead and Kilburn.