YouGov show Tories maintaining large lead

A new YouGov poll for the Sunday Times has voting intention figures, with charges from their last poll, of CON 44%(+1), LAB 28%(-1), LDEM 17%(nc). The poll would have been conducted between the 10th and 11th of April, so the fieldwork would have co-incided with the Bank of England rate cut and lots of discussion in the media about the state of the economy.

The change from the last YouGov poll is insignificant, and the 16 point lead is the same as the YouGov poll before that - together the three YouGov polls since the budget paint a pretty consistent position of a Tory lead up to the mid-teens, enough for a substantial majority if repeated at an election. The picture they paint is also pretty consistent with ICM's recent polls (though they show a smaller Tory because their topline adjustment is picking up some "shy Labour voters"). Harder to explain is that Populus poll in the week showing a much smaller Tory lead.

There is supposedly also a poll due in tomorrow's Observer (MORI, I would guess), so it will interesting to see if that shows the same sort of large lead as ICM and YouGov are showing, or the sort of narrower lead that Populus and ComRes have found.

UPDATE: For the record, I've already seen a couple of comments about it being a 16 year high rating for the Tories. It isn't. It's the highest since December when YouGov had them at 45%.