YouGov have published their monthly Welsh voting intention poll for ITV Wales. The topline figures are as follows: Constituency vote: CON 21%, LAB 45%, LDEM 7%, Plaid 21% Regional vote: CON 20%, LAB 41%, LDEM 8%, Plaid 21% Note that YouGov have switched over to using likelihood to vote weighting
YouGov's daily poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 37%, LAB 43%, LDEM 10%. Still very much in line with the 5 point leads we've been seeing of late, but note the Lib Dems still in double figures. Just to clarify, because I know
ICM's monthly poll for the Guardian is out and has topline figures of CON 35%(-2), LAB 39%(nc), LDEM 15%(+2). Changes are from their last poll in mid-December. The four point Labour lead is in the same sort of region as YouGov have been showing in
Tonight's YouGov/Sun voting intentions are CON 37%, LAB 42%, LDEM 11%. Still bang in line with the five point Labour lead YouGov have been showing of late. The 11% for the Liberal Democrat is, incidentally, the highest YouGov have shown them at since early December, though as
YouGov's weekly poll in the Sunday Times this week has the first questions asked about Ed Balls as Shadow Chancellor - asked if his appointment will make Labour stronger or weaker, 24% of people think it will strengthen Labour, 18% think it will weaken them (though to some
Tonight's YouGov/Sunday Times voting intention figures are CON 39%, LAB 43%, LDEM 9%. The poll was entirely conducted after Alan Johnson's resignation and replacement by Ed Balls (though of course, that doesn't mean respondents would automatically have been aware of it), and almost
Two big resignations this week - Alan Johnson and Andy Coulson. What will be the impact? The immediate one will be virtually nil. People watching the Westminister bubble tend to consistently over-estimate the impact of comparatively minor gaffes and scandals, the public's awareness of the stories or even
Tonight's YouGov/Sun voting intention figures are CON 36%, LAB 43%, LDEM 10%, Others 11%. It's the second time we've seen Labour get a seven point lead, though it well within the margin of error of the five point Labour lead that seems to
A couple of weeks ago Angus Reid ran a poll that had a question asking about how people would vote in an electoral pact. At the time I said you needed to run a slightly more complex question to get a steer on it. Since then we've run
Lord Ashcroft has published a recontact survey of people who were contacted in the original Populus poll of Oldham East and Saddleworth voters. Full tabs are here and Ashcroft's own commentary here. The poll confirms the churn underlying the by-election result - of 2010 Lib Dem voters, only
Tonight's YouGov/Sun voting intention poll has topline figures of CON 39%, LAB 44%, LDEM 8%, Other 9%. The Labour lead of around about 5 points seems to be holding steady. For the record this is the highest level of support YouGov have shown since the general election,
Tonight's YouGov/Sun daily poll figures are CON 37%, LAB 42%, LDEM 9%. Leaving aside that single poll showing Labour and the Conservatives equal on 41% - which in hindsight must have been an outlier - there seems to have been a significant shift in YouGov's
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