ICM/Guardian - 35/39/15

ICM's monthly poll for the Guardian is out and has topline figures of CON 35%(-2), LAB 39%(nc), LDEM 15%(+2). Changes are from their last poll in mid-December. The four point Labour lead is in the same sort of region as YouGov have been showing in their daily polls, where Labour's lead has been at or around 5 points lately.

After YouGov's poll yesterday showing the Liberal Democrats up at 11 I was rather cautious about whether it meant anything, but here we also have ICM showing the party recovering somewhat (there's a big gap between 11% and 15%, but YouGov tend to show the lowest score for the Lib Dems of the regular pollsters while ICM tend to show the highest so this is to be expected - the interesting finding is both companies have them noticable above their respective low points.)

The other findings mentioned in the Guardian are that Cameron is ahead on best Prime Minister by 38% to Miliband's 25% and Nick Clegg's 12%. Asked to choose whether the coalition or Labour are best placed to deal with Britain's problems 41% pick the coalition and 36% Labour.

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