Tonight's YouGov/Sun daily poll figures are CON 37%, LAB 42%, LDEM 9%. Leaving aside that single poll showing Labour and the Conservatives equal on 41% - which in hindsight must have been an outlier - there seems to have been a significant shift in YouGov's daily polling over the last week, with the Labour lead widening from around 3 points to 5 points or more, and the Conservatives dropping below 40% to the mid to high thirties.
Britain’s unwritten constitution assumes the incumbent Prime Minister gets the first chance to form a government. But what happens if that Prime Minister has been personally ejected by voters in their constituency?
According to a survey of 4,560 children aged 13 - 16, across England, Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland conducted by Survation for the BBC, teenagers think 'to feel good about what you do' was the most important thing about any future job. 'happiness' was second,
Our latest default model projection based on current national polling shows that if a general election was held today, Reform would be the biggest party on 226 seats, 100 seats short of a majority. To put Nigel Farage in Downing Street they would require a coalition with the Conservatives -
Writing in the New Statesman Ben Walker speculates that Labour could lose nearly 2,000 seats out of some 2,500 they are defending. This seems catastrophic for Labour and would see the Greens gain almost a 1,000 councillors with Reform expected to take another 1,000 from Labour
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