PolitcsHome have released the full report for their updated marginals polls - it covered just short of 240 seats, with a sample of around 35000. It is a repeated of their 2008 exercise, using exactly the same seats and the same methodology so we can see how the picture has
The Guardian is reporting an updated version of PoliticsHome's huge poll of marginal seats. As they did last year, PoliticsHome polled around 34,000 people in 238 marginal seats, divided into 17 groups of similar seats to make a projection of how people would vote in a general
Today's YouGov daily figures are CON 41%(+1), LAB 29%(+3), LDEM 17%(-3). There's obviously some jumping around here from sampling error, so it's important to look at the trend rather than the day to day changes. Labour are up again, but below
The positive coverage of Brown's speech was very short lived, being rapidly replaced by almost wall-to-wall coverage of the Sun's attack on Labour. It seems to be reflected in the polls - today's YouGov figures are sharp reverse of yesterday's with the
In one of the previous threads someone asked how Sun readers actually vote. Well, now I can tell you! MORI have rushed out figures from their aggregated data looking at just that. MORI's aggregated data for the last 9 months has voting intentions of CON 41%, LAB 26%
The daily figures from YouGov are CON 37%(-3), LAB 30%(+1), LDEM 21%(+3). Short term changes are slightly surprising - the Lib Dems appear to have gained rather than Labour - but I expect that's down to sample variation. The bigger picture is that Labour have
The last thread seems to have very little discussion about polls and lots of partisan argument, so I thought it time for an open thread. Normal comment policy is suspending for just this thread, so feel knock yourselves out. Meanwhile, can we try and keep other threads on topic and
YouGov have an instant reaction poll to Brown's speech. This was a survey of 673 people who watched Brown's speech. The topline is that they liked it. 33% thought it was an excellent speech, 30% good, 22% fair, 11% poor and 4% bad. Their opinion of
YouGov's daily polling figures are normally going up at 5.05pm each day, but today (and next Thurs) publication is being brought forward to before the leaders' speeches to leave 5pm free for other things. Hence we already have today's figures, which are CON 40%
The BBC is reporting a new Ipsos MORI poll with topline results of CON 36%(-7), LAB 24%(-2), LDEM 25%(+8!). So far I can't find any mention of it elsewhere, and consequently don't know the fieldwork dates (though I guess from the figures it
Monday's daily figures from YouGov are out. The topline figures with changes from Friday's figures are CON 39%(-1), LAB 29%(+5), LDEM 20%(-1). The poll was conducted yesterday and today. That's a big jump in Labour support for the first day of
There is a new Populus poll in the Times. They found 51% thought it would be better for Labour if Gordon Brown "quit with dignity", 43% think it would be better if he stayed. 47% of people said the Gordon Brown would deserve "only a little credit&
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