The voting intention in the Sun today are re-reporting of the figures on Friday, however we do have lots more data based on the large 10000 sample that the two polls last week were drawn from. Full tables are here. The poll mostly dealt with Labour's record since
I'm going to do a full post on the Sun poll later on, but firstly a quick explanation of what went on. The two YouGov polls published last week were actually subsets of this big 10,000 poll, released because of the Labour leadership ructions. The 4000 or
There is a new ICM poll in the Sunday Telegraph and it doesn't suggest any great damage for Labour from their leadership ructions this week. The topline figures from ICM's previous poll for the Guardian in mid-December are CON 40%(nc), LAB 30%(-1), LDEM 18%
The leadership ructions in the week seem to have brought out the pollsters (I understand that there is also an ICM poll in the field, presumably for one of the weekend papers). ComRes have some Hoon-Hewitt questions for the Daily Politics here. They found 50% of people agreed with the
The full tables from YouGov's poll from after the coup are now available here. The poll reasked the questions about Brown staying or going and who should replace him with similar answers. There were also a couple of coup-specific questions though. 62% of people thought that the idea
Here's the effect of Labour's leadership infighting: Sky are reporting that the Sun has fresh figures from YouGov in tomorrow's paper and show a shift back towards the Conservatives. The topline figures with changes from yesterday's poll prior to Geoff Hoon and
The tables for the YouGov/Sun poll are now up on their website. The fieldwork was indeed the 5th and 6th of January, so the majority of respondents would likely have been unaware of the Hoon/Hewitt "attempted coup". The questions on the leadership wasn't actually
There is a new YouGov poll in the Sun tomorrow. I haven't seen the full details of it yet, only the topline figures on Sky News, but they are CON 40%(nc), LAB 31%(+1), LDEM 17%(nc), so virtually no change from the YouGov poll between Christmas
In November I listed four "known unknowns" that I thought had the most chance of changing the political landscape before the election - the end of the recession, the budget, the leaders debates and the last chance for Labour to oust Brown. January was always really the last
There is a headline in Scotland on Sunday of "Scots Tories set to gain new seats". The story underneath is based on polling conducted by ORB for the Conservative party in the party's 11 target seats (their one current seat, and ten they hope to gain)
The first poll of 2010 is actually the last one of 2009, since it was conducted on Tuesday and Wednesday. The YouGov poll in the Telegraph has topline figures of CON 40%(nc), LAB 30%(+2), LDEM 17%(-1). Given the dates of the fieldwork there was potential for really
The Green Party have just released an ICM poll of Brighton Pavilion that shows them leading the Conservatives by 8 points in the seat with Labour in third place. Clearly the Greens have commissioned it for their own purposes, and one should always look carefully at polls commissioned by political
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