The final poll of 2009

The first poll of 2010 is actually the last one of 2009, since it was conducted on Tuesday and Wednesday. The YouGov poll in the Telegraph has topline figures of CON 40%(nc), LAB 30%(+2), LDEM 17%(-1).

Given the dates of the fieldwork there was potential for really wacky results here, but it's actually almost exactly at the mod point between YouGov's other two December polls this year.

The "feel-good-factor" (that is, the proportion of people who expected their family's financial situation to get better over the next 12 months minus that who expected it to get worse) was up to minus 13, actually the highest that YouGov have recorded since the recession began, though only just and it may be the result of seasonable optimism!

Asked about their expectations for 2010, 63% thought the Conservatives would win the election, 67% expected house prices to rise again, though only 40% expected the economy to grow and 24% expected a further bank collapse. Only 18% expected their family to be better off.

Just 12% expected progress towards peace in Afghanistan, 7% thought crime would fall and an ever optimistic 8% expected the England football team to win the World Cup (since someone will ask, that included 1% of Scots... or at least, people living in Scotland).

Full tables are here