As we get closer to the election there will be more and more attention paid to polls, and sadly there will be more and more comments like those below - look, for example, at the horrors that crop up in the BBC "Have Your Say" section. Clearly none
Sky News are reporting tonight's YouGov poll for the Sunday Times as having topline figures of CON 37%(nc), LAB 33%(-1), LDEM 17%(nc). There is clearly no significant change in the voting intention, and YouGov now seem to be showing lead of around 4 or 5
There is an ICM poll in tomorrow's Sunday Telegraph. The topline figures are CON 38%(-2), LAB 31%(nc), LDEM 21%(+3). Changes are from ICM's last poll at the start of March. There's a drop in Conservative support and a boost for the
Tonight's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 37%(nc), LAB 34%(+2), LDEM 17%(nc). Leaving aside that 2 pointer for the Sunday Times, which in hindsight was probably something of a rogue, it's the lowest Conservative lead YouGov have shown since
YouGov's daily poll has figures of CON 37%(+1), LAB 32%(nc), LDEM 17%(-3). It looks as though that sudden 20% for the Lib Dems yesterday was no more than a blip, and we are back to a 5 point Conservative lead. We are still within the
Polls in northern Ireland are very rare creatures, not least because they have a rather poor record. There is a strong tendency for them to under-report the proportion of people voting for parties at the more hardline ends of the political spectrum, and over-report those in the centre. I am
Tonight's YouGov daily polling has topline figures of CON 36%(-3), LAB 32%(-2), LDEM 20%(+4). After a fortnight or so of leads within one percent of 6 points, we have something ever so slightly different. The lead hasn't changed much, and is still very
There is a Populus poll of marginal seats in tomorrow's Times, Peter Riddell's commentary is here. The headline figures in the poll is CON 38%, LAB 38% and this has resulted in a flurry of excitement from twitterers, but what it means depends upon which seats
YouGov's daily poll has topline figures of CON 39%(+1), LAB 34%(+1), LDEM 16%(-1). The lead remains at 5 points, but both the main parties have increased with the Lib Dems down to 16 points again. As I said at the weekend while writing about ICM&
Following new polls from TNS BMRB and a rare sighting of a Harris poll, we have another new entrant - this is shaping up to be an extremely heavily polled election! Anyway, tomorrow's Express has a new poll from Opinium - who they? Looking at their website here,
Two new national polls tonight: YouGov's daily poll in the Sun and a new entrant in the Express - Opinium Research. They have topline figures of CON 37%, LAB 30%, LDEM 16% - but more on that later. We will also have a new poll from Populus in
There are unlikely to be any polls out tonight, so in response to public demand (and organised by Al J), here's a thread for your general election predictions. Please try and keep this thread for general election predictions, rather than wander off onto other subjects.
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