YouGov Daily Poll - 37/32/17

YouGov's daily poll has figures of CON 37%(+1), LAB 32%(nc), LDEM 17%(-3). It looks as though that sudden 20% for the Lib Dems yesterday was no more than a blip, and we are back to a 5 point Conservative lead.

We are still within the margin of error of the 6 point Tory lead that YouGov have had for about three weeks now, but the last four polls have all shown the lead below 6. It looks to me as though things may still be very gently narrowing.

Looking ahead, we today had confirmation that the Budget would be on the 24th March. Late last year I flagged it up as one of the known unknowns ahead that could potentially change the political scene (the other remaining one being the leaders' debates) - I looked at the political impact of some recent budgets back in 2009 here