YouGov daily figures - 36/32/20 - UPDATED

Tonight's YouGov daily polling has topline figures of CON 36%(-3), LAB 32%(-2), LDEM 20%(+4). After a fortnight or so of leads within one percent of 6 points, we have something ever so slightly different. The lead hasn't changed much, and is still very easily inside the margin of error of an unchanged six point lead, but there's a noticable drop for the Conservatives and a boost for the Lib Dems.

As ever, we should treat changes with some scepticism until confirmed by further polling (remember that 2 point lead a fortnight ago that immediately vanished in the next poll) but it's worth noting that we have now had three YouGov polls in a row showing a lead below 6...

UPDATE: There is also a new Harris poll in the Metro. The topline figures are CON 37%(-2), LAB 29%(-1), LDEM 18%(-4). This implies a 7 point jump for "others" to 16 points.

When it comes to minor parties there is an interesting divide between the traditional phone pollsters and YouGov on one hand, and the newer online companies on the other. YouGov and the phone pollsters all have the "others" around 11% or 12%. The three new online entrants, Harris, Angus Reid and Opinium all have them around 16% or 17%.

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