Election night
I will be working on the BBC's election coverage tonight (behind the scenes, so no need to look out for me), so won't be updating the site. I'll be closing the comments when I head up to the studio in a couple of hours,
Anthony Wells
About tonight's exit poll
There is just the one exit poll these days at British elections. MORI and NOP used to do seperate ones, now they carry it out jointly on behalf of BBC and ITN (and for the first time at this election, Sky), so all three channels will have the same one.
Final poll of the campaign
Ipsos MORI's final call poll is now out, and has topline figures of CON 36%(nc), LAB 29%(-1), LDEM 27%(+4). Very much in line with the other companies, all but two of whom have the parties within 1 point of CON 36%, LAB 28%, LDEM 27%
Final predictions
Ipsos-MORI's final poll will be in the Evening Standard tomorrow, but apart from that all the other final polls are out. CONLABLDEMCon Lead Populus372827+9 ComRes372828+9 Opinium352726+8 ICM362826+8 YouGov352828+7 Angus Reid362429+7 Harris352927+6 TNS BMRB332729+4 There you go. Yesterday I said I
Final Polls
First out of the stalls is Opinium for the Express - CON 35%(+2), LAB 27%(-1), LDEM 26%(-1). Others are presumably around 12. I will update as the rest of the final polls come in tonight. UPDATE: Secondly we have TNS BMRB - CON 33%(-1), LAB 27%
YouGov final Scottish poll
There is a final Scottish poll from YouGov in the Scotsman this morning. Topline figures are CON 17%, LAB 37%, LDEM 22%, SNP 21%. These show very little change from the 2005 election - the Conservatives are up 1, Labour down 2, the Liberal Democrats down 1 and the SNP
Harris/Metro - 36/26/28
There is a new(ish) Harris poll in this morning's Metro. Topline figures are CON 36%(+3), LAB 26%(+2), LDEM 28%(-4). The changes are from a poll a week ago, thought the fieldwork actually overlapped with one, which was conducted between the 28th April and 4th
ComRes/ITV/Indy - 37/29/26
Sky have published the results of today's ComRes poll for ITV and the Indy. The topline figures with changes from yesterday are CON 37%(nc), LAB 29%(nc), LDEM 26%(nc) - so no difference at all. There is clearly no sign of a Lib Dem collapse here,
YouGov poll of Wales
ITV Wales have a new YouGov poll of voting intentions in Wales. Topline figures are CON 27%(+4), LAB 35%(+2), LDEM 23%(-6), PC 10%(+1). Changes are from this poll at the height of the Lib Dem surge, hence the large falling back. Fieldwork was done yesterday and
YouGov/Sun - 35/30/24
Tonight's YouGov poll has topline figures of CON 35%(nc), LAB 30%(+2), LDEM 24%(-4), a sharp drop for the Liberal Democrats. Just when it was looking as though the position had settled down, we suddenly have a shift in support. It could be the "Cleggmania&
Northern Ireland polling
The Belfast Telegraph have the only poll of Northern Ireland in the campaign so far, carried out by Inform Communications. Polling in Northern Ireland does not have a stellar record of success, but for the record their topline figures are DUP 26%, Sinn Fein 25%, SDLP 17%, UCUNF 13%, Alliance
Looking towards the final polls
We are rapidly heading towards the final round of polling before the election - I expect most will emerge tomorrow evening, though we could in theory have some final calls tonight (there will be YouGov and ComRes polls tonight, but I expect they will both also have polls tomorrow). The