Northern Ireland polling

The Belfast Telegraph have the only poll of Northern Ireland in the campaign so far, carried out by Inform Communications. Polling in Northern Ireland does not have a stellar record of success, but for the record their topline figures are DUP 26%, Sinn Fein 25%, SDLP 17%, UCUNF 13%, Alliance 7%, TUV 5%.

They have also published breakdowns by constituency - with a total sample size of 3200, this suggests about 180 or so respondents per seat which is, frankly, nigh on useless for predicting a winner in all but safe seats. For what little it is worth though, it would suggest the closest contests are Upper Bann (between SF and DUP), Fermanagh and South Tyrone (between SF and the Independent Unionist candidate), North Antrim (between the DUP and TUV), North Belfast (between DUP and SF) and South Antrim (between UCUNF and DUP).