Final Polls

First out of the stalls is Opinium for the Express - CON 35%(+2), LAB 27%(-1), LDEM 26%(-1). Others are presumably around 12. I will update as the rest of the final polls come in tonight.

UPDATE: Secondly we have TNS BMRB - CON 33%(-1), LAB 27%(nc), LDEM 29%(-1)

UPDATE2: Populus’s final call is CON 37%(+1), LAB 28%(+1), LDEM 27%(-1)

UPDATE3: Plenty of polls coming in now, Angus Reid for Political Betting have figures of CON 36%(+1), LAB 24%(+1), LDEM 29%(nc). Labour remain in a poor third there, and unsurprisingly it looks as though Angus Reid will be showing the lowest level of support for them.

YouGov's final poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 35%(nc), LAB 28%(-2), LDEM 28%(+4). So a reverse of that drop in Lib Dem support yesterday, which in hindsight looks like sample error. These figures take YouGov back to what they were showing on Monday (and within a point or so, for the best part of a week). YouGov also did a final poll of Lab-Con marginal seats, showing a 7 point swing to the Tories. More on that later once we get all the final polls and I can crunch the figures properly.

UPDATE4: Harris in the Daily Mail seem to have figures of CON 35%(-1), LAB 29%(+3), LDEM 27%(-1) (I've also seen 35/29/29 quoted, but 35/29/27 is what the BBC are now saying). They really have come into line with the established pollsters. ICM and ComRes still to come, when Martin Boon stops teasing people on twitter ;)

UPDATE5: ICM's poll has finally turned up (treat them mean and keep them keen!). Topline figures there are CON 36%(+3), LAB 28%(nc), LDEM 26%(-2). Conservatives back up three points after a drop in ICM's previous poll. ComRes's poll for ITV meanwhile has topline figures of CON 37%(nc), LAB 28%(-1), LDEM 28%(+2). Apart from tomorrow's MORI poll in the Stanard, I think that's it, there's your polls. Proper voting starts at 7am. I'll have a proper look at the eve-of-election polls to dig out any interesting nuggets later, and then get myself off the fence and make a prediction (all will be posted on the mirror site at ukpollingreport.wordpress.com too - there have been 350,000 visits to the site so far today, so do try and help keep it online!).

NB - Comments are closed to stop traffic crashing the site. Comments are open over at the backup site http://ukpollingreport.wordpress.com instead.

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