YouGov/Sunday Times - CON 30, LAB 41, LD 10, UKIP 13

Anthony Wells

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I've been out and about today so haven't had chance to do my normal write up of the YouGov Sunday Times poll. For the record the full tables are here, and the topline voting intention figures are CON 30%, LAB 41%, LDEM 10%, UKIP 13%.

The eleven point lead for Labour is higher than YouGov have been showing lately (indeed, it's their first double digit Labour lead since June). All the normal caveats apply - sure, it should be the start of Labour climbing back into double-point leads, or it could equally well be normal margin of error and we'll be back to more typical seven or eight point leads in the next poll.

The poll also asked about Ed Miliband, Labour and the Unions and found much the same as the YouGov polling midweek. There was a positive reception to Miliband's proposals: 62% of people say they support the proposed changes to how union members pay fees to Labour, and people think he is right to try and reduce Labour's links to the unions by 44% to 13% (22% think he is not actually trying to reduce links at all). However 37% of people still think Miliband is too close to the Unions, up from 29% last week, and while his figures on being a strong leader are slightly more positive than a week ago, it's not by very much - he is still seen as a weak leader by 46% of people, a strong leader by only 12%.

Moving on, 62% of people agree that MPs should be working full time on their main jobs, and that second jobs risk corruption or conflicts of interest. In comparison, 21% think that MPs doing second jobs keeps them in touch with ordinary people and is better than just having full-time politicians. 56% would support a ban on MPs having second jobs. The poll also had questions on airport capacity and high speed rail, and the replacement of Trident.

Also new out yesterday was a Beaufort poll of Wales for the Western Mail asking how Wales would vote in a referendum on EU membership. 29% would vote to stay, 37% would vote to leave and 35% said either wouldn't vote (21%) or don't know (14%). Full report in the Western Mail here.

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