Sunday Polls - UPDATED

Unlike the YouGov and Populus polls in recent days an Ipsos-MORI poll in the Observer doesn't show any sign of a conference boost for Labour - the topline figures with changes from the last MORI poll, conducted directly prior to the Labour conference, are CON 34%(nc), LAB 41%(-1), LDEM 16%(+2) This is an increase for the Lib Dems, but pretty static for the two main parties. There is no indication yet of the exact dates of the fieldwork.

The poll also underlined what is Gordon Brown's undoubted strength since the Northern Rock crisis - an overwhelming 60% of people think Gordon Brown is best able to handle a crisis compared with only 13% for David Cameron and 9% for Sir Menzies Campbell. Rather cuttingly for David Cameron, amongst Tory voters 37% trusted Brown most in a crisis compared to 32% for Cameron.

A BPIX poll in the Mail on Sunday also shows the Conservatives on 34% and Labour on 41%, but with the Lib Dems down on 12%. It's the lowest Lib Dem score we've seen for a long while, but that's to be expected. We don't know what weightings they do use, but we do know from their polls last year that they tend to produce figures with the Lib Dems considerably lower than in other polls.

UPDATE - the full results of the MORI poll are now up on their website here, with one very interesting finding. A week or two ago we were told that Labour's private polling showed them 7 or 8 points ahead, but asked how people would vote in an autumn election it shot up to a 14 point lead. We have no way of testing such claims of course, but MORI asked a similar question in this poll. From CON 34%, LAB 41%, LDEM 16% in the normal voting intention poll, asked how people would vote in an autumn election the figures changed to CON 35%, LAB 40%, LDEM 16%. It's not a huge shift - Labour's lead is only 2 points lower - but it contradicts the idea that Labour would have an even bigger lead in an immediate election.