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Latest polls, and how people would vote with a Con-UKIP pact

A quick catch up of this week's polls so far, and an update on polling on a Con-UKIP pact. The first of this week's two Populus polls had figures of CON 34%, LAB 36%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 13%, GRN 3% (tabs). Monday's Lord Ashcroft

By Anthony Wells 21 Oct 2014

YouGov/Sunday TImes - CON 32, LAB 35, LDEM 7, UKIP 16, GRN 5%

This week's YouGov/Sunday Times results are here. Topline voting intentions are CON 32%, LAB 35%, LDEM 7%, UKIP 16%, GRN 5%. The rest of the poll is a bit of a grab bag of other issues. Perceptions of the party leaders and the debates, some questions on

By Anthony Wells 19 Oct 2014

ComRes/Sunday Indy - CON 31, LAB 34, LD 7, UKIP 19... and a prompting experiment

ComRes have done their monthly online poll for the Independent on Sunday. Topline figures are CON 31%(+2), LAB 34%(-1), LDEM 7%(nc), UKIP 19%(nc), GRN 4%(nc). For clarification, given some of the misunderstandings on Twitter earlier today, this is using ComRes's normal methodology and

By Anthony Wells 18 Oct 2014

Latest Populus and YouGov polls

This morning's Populus poll has topline figures of CON 33%, LAB 35%, LDEM 10%, UKIP 14%, GRN 4% (tabs here). Meanwhile this morning's YouGov poll for the Sun had topline figures of CON 31%, LAB 32%, LDEM 8%, UKIP 18%, GRN 7% (tabs here). Earlier in

By Anthony Wells 17 Oct 2014

Ipsos MORI/Standard - CON 30, LAB 33, LDEM 8, UKIP 16

Ipsos MORI's monthly political monitor is out in today's Standard. Topline figures are CON 30%(-4), LAB 33%(nc), LDEM 8%(+1), UKIP 16%(+1). The 16% for UKIP is up only one since last month, but that makes it the highest UKIP score MORI have

By Anthony Wells 15 Oct 2014

Latest Populus, Ashcroft and ICM polls

So far today we have three new opinion polls, all conducted since the Clacton by-election result. Yesterday's Survation poll was conducted just on Friday, in the immediate glare of the post by-election publicity, and saw UKIP spikng up to 25%, three points above Survation's record high

By Anthony Wells 13 Oct 2014

Sunday polling round up

There are four polls in the Sunday papers - Lord Ashcroft, Opinium, Survation and YouGov. The majority of the fieldwork for the YouGov/Sunday Times and Opinium/Observer polls was conducted before the results of the Clacton by-election were known. Opinium have topline figures of CON 28%(-4), LAB 35%

By Anthony Wells 12 Oct 2014

Clacton, Heywood & Middleton

Yesterday we had two by-elections. Claction was an emphatic, walkover win for Douglas Carswell and UKIP, which was largely what everyone expected - he was particularly well regarded as an MP and the demographics of the seat could not have been better for UKIP. Heywood and Middleton was more of

By Anthony Wells 10 Oct 2014

YouGov/Sun - CON 33, LAB 34, LD 7, UKIP 14

This morning's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 33%, LAN 34%, LDEM 7%, UKIP 14%, GRN 6% (tabs here). Yesterday's YouGov poll was also back to a small Labour lead, so it looks as if the Tory lead immediately following Cameron'

By Anthony Wells 09 Oct 2014

Latest Populus and Ashcroft polls

Populus and Lord Ashcroft have both published new polls today. Lord Ashcroft's poll echoes YouGov's post conference polls in showing a small Tory lead - CON 32%, LAB 30%, LDEM 7%, UKIP 17%, GRN 7% (tabs here). In contrast today's Populus poll still shows

By Anthony Wells 06 Oct 2014

YouGov/Sunday Times shows another Tory lead, plus Survation Rochester & Strood poll

Two polls in the Sunday papers. The weekly YouGov/Sunday Times poll has topline figures of CON 36%, LAB 34%, LDEM 7%, UKIP 13%. That means both the YouGov polls since Cameron's conference speech have shown a small Tory lead, though it's worth noting that that

By Anthony Wells 04 Oct 2014

YouGov Tory lead and Survation Heywood & Middleton poll

The Sun has two interesting polls tonight. Firstly the daily YouGov poll tonight has topline figures of CON 35%, LAB 34%, LDEM 6%, UKIP 14%. The fieldwork was conducted between Wednesday afternoon and Thursday afternoon, so was entirely after David Cameron speech, but largely before this morning's newspaper

By Anthony Wells 02 Oct 2014
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