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By-Elections Preview: Tories Set for Tough Night in Selby, Somerton and Uxbridge

By-Election

By-Elections Preview: Tories Set for Tough Night in Selby, Somerton and Uxbridge

Today's the day when voters in three constituencies across the country go the polls to decide who replaces their previous Conservative incumbent. Although all seats previously had solid majorities, on current polling - and with a vastly unpopular incumbent government - the Conservatives will have a hard time

By Callum Jones 20 Jul 2023
Daily Mail's Misleading Headline Shows Shows How Not to Use "Polling"

Daily Mail's Misleading Headline Shows Shows How Not to Use "Polling"

From unrepresentative reader polls to sensationalised headlines, you don't have to look far to find poor uses of polling in the British media. However, few instances are as egregious as today's Daily Mail front page. The Mail led with the remarkable revelation that a "snap

By Callum Jones 11 Jul 2023
Voters of All Major Parties Support Right to Roam

Voters of All Major Parties Support Right to Roam

There is majority of support for a right to roam in England across voters of every major party affiliation. Right to roam is already in place in Scotland, as 62% of all voters support its expansion to England. The finding comes courtesy of a poll of 2,049 from YouGov

By Callum Jones 06 Jul 2023
Constituency Poll Shows Labour On Course for Mid Bedfordshire Win

Constituency Poll Shows Labour On Course for Mid Bedfordshire Win

Opinium have conducted a constituency poll in Mid Bedfordshire ahead of the impending by-election, and it makes good reading for Labour. Their candidate, Alistair Strathern, is set to gain the seat on 28% of the vote, closely followed by the Conservative candidate Festus Akinbusoye on 24%. The Independent candidate Gareth

By Callum Jones 05 Jul 2023
Labour Lead Up Four Percentage Points in Three Weeks

Labour Lead Up Four Percentage Points in Three Weeks

Labour's polling lead has climbed by 3.3% since Boris Johnson resigned on June 9 and by 4.2% since June 13. According to our polling average, Labour now leads the Conservatives by 19.2%. This trend is made apparent when polling results are plotted by their date.

By Callum Jones 29 Jun 2023
Half of Voters Hold Government to Account Government for Inflation

Inflation

Half of Voters Hold Government to Account Government for Inflation

A majority of British voters predominantly hold the Government responsible for inflation. 50% of voters blame the Government, whilst 32% hold the Bank of England responsible. Perhaps not unrelated to Rishi's relentless repetition of his pledge to halve inflation... Although the government does set an inflation target, and

By Callum Jones 26 Jun 2023
A Majority of Voters Think Brexit Has Gone Badly... That Doesn't Mean They Want to Rejoin

Brexit

A Majority of Voters Think Brexit Has Gone Badly... That Doesn't Mean They Want to Rejoin

To coincide with the seven year anniversary of the Brexit vote, UK in a Changing Europe have published polling taking a deep dive into the extent of Brexit regret. The pressure group has produced 537 pages of tables, if any committed readers fancy trawling through the data, with a full

By Callum Jones 22 Jun 2023
Six in Ten Voters Think Rishi Sunak Handled Boris's Partygate Investigation Badly

Six in Ten Voters Think Rishi Sunak Handled Boris's Partygate Investigation Badly

Almost 60% of voters think Rishi Sunak handled the investigation and report into whether Boris Johnson misled Parliament badly. According to new polling from YouGov, 32% of voters think the Prime Minister handled the Privileges Committee's report "very badly", with 25% saying the Prime Minister did

By Callum Jones 21 Jun 2023
Conservative In-Fighting Boosts Labour's Poll Lead

Conservative In-Fighting Boosts Labour's Poll Lead

The internal battles on the Conservative backbenches seem to have filtered through to opinion polling, as every poll result since Boris Johnson announced his resignation from parliament has shown Labour growing their poll lead. Estimates of Labour's Boris bounce range from Omnisis' 2% to the 8% suggested

By Callum Jones 20 Jun 2023
Greek Electoral See Saw Favours New Democracy

Greece

Greek Electoral See Saw Favours New Democracy

Modern Greek politics has often felt like a seesaw in a children’s playground. Election after election, the Government's side of the saw has experienced a collapse in their support. Since 1974, no Greek governing party has improved their results at the election following their time in office

By Christina Georgaki 19 Jun 2023
40% Think Boris Still Has a Political Future, Despite Privileges Committee Report

40% Think Boris Still Has a Political Future, Despite Privileges Committee Report

According to snap polling from Savanta, 40% of the British public think Boris's political career "is not over", despite today's excoriating report from the Privileges Committee. This can be contrasted to the 47% who think he doesn't have a future in politics.

By Callum Jones 15 Jun 2023
Liberal Democrats Best Placed to Benefit from Tactical Voting

Tactical Voting

Liberal Democrats Best Placed to Benefit from Tactical Voting

Since writing about by-election prospects in Mid Bedfordshire, readers will no doubt be aware that two further Tory MPs have announced their plan to stand down effective immediately. On top of Rutherglen and Hamilton West, it means four separate by-elections are now on the cards. Whilst Rutherglen looks to be

By Callum Jones 12 Jun 2023
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