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CrosbyTextor poll of marginal seats

There is a new poll by CrosbyTextor in the Sunday Telegraph, conducted in the top thirty Conservative target seats. I believe the poll was taken in the top thirty Conservative target seats using my notional boundary figures - the list is here. It matches the breakdown as given in the

By Anthony Wells 26 Jul 2008

22 point Tory lead from ComRes

ComRes's monthly poll for the Independent has topline voting intentions - with changes from their last poll - of CON 46%(+1), LAB 24%(nc), LDEM 18%(+2). The bigger picture of a Tory lead around 20 points is still unchanged, though for the record this is the

By Anthony Wells 26 Jul 2008

Glasgow East

I don't normally post on election results, I'm a bit of purist about it - as Danny Finkelstein posted more lengthily back before the local elections, local elections, by-elections and so on aren't representative so don't actually tell us much we don&

By Anthony Wells 25 Jul 2008

Ipsos MORI July Monitor

Ipsos-MORI's monthly political monitor is now on their website here. The topline voting intentions, with changes from last month, are CON 47%(+2), LAB 27%(-1), LDEM 15%(-1). The poll was conducted between the 18th and 20th July. The rest of the poll is the usual litany

By Anthony Wells 23 Jul 2008

More on Glasgow East

Mike Smithson has managed to get hold of the tables for the Progressive Scottish Opinion poll in Glasgow East. Looking at the tables, Progressive Scottish Opinion do not appear to have used any political weighting when weighting their sample. Politically their raw sample appears to have been pretty much the

By Anthony Wells 22 Jul 2008

Labour up in latest ICM poll

ICM's monthly poll for the Guardian has topline voting intention figures, with changes from their last poll, of CON 43%(-2), LAB 28%(+3), LDEM 19%(-1). The poll was conducted between the 18th and 20th July. We're getting some contradictory messages from the polls this

By Anthony Wells 21 Jul 2008

Young people and knife crime

Yesterday's News of the World included an ICM poll of under 25s about knife crime. Considering that the British Crime Survey doesn't include juvenile crime, and that while actual stabbing will very probably end up as recorded crime figures, people carrying knives, or waving knives about

By Anthony Wells 21 Jul 2008

Tory lead steady in latest ComRes poll

ComRes have a new poll in the Independent on Sunday. The topline voting intention with changes from the last ComRes poll are CON 45%(-1), LAB 24%(-1), LDEM 16%(-2) (the drop in support for the main parties, interestingly enough, seems to have benefited the Green party, up on

By Anthony Wells 19 Jul 2008

Another poll shows Labour ahead in Glasgow East

Progressive Scottish Opinion have produced a second poll for the Glasgow East by-election. As with ICM, it shows a substantial Labour lead with voting intentions of LAB 52%, SNP 35%, CON 7%, LDEM 3%. The poll was conducted between the 14th and 17th July, and interviewed 509 people. Progressive Scottish

By Anthony Wells 19 Jul 2008

Are Labour really ahead in Glasgow East?

Last weekend the Sunday Telegraph published an ICM poll conducted in Glasgow East showing Labour ahead by 14 points. It's a good lead, but a lot of people seem unconvinced by the poll. Let's look at the reasons. Firstly, the weighting of the poll. Some people

By Anthony Wells 18 Jul 2008

Brits overwhelmingly back Obama

Today's Guardian reports an ICM poll from last week that showed that British voters would overwhelmingly prefer to see Barack Obama as the next President of the USA, by 55% to 11% for John McCain. I've seen a couple of polls ask about this (it'

By Anthony Wells 14 Jul 2008

22 point Tory lead from YouGov

The monthly YouGov poll for the Sunday Times has topline voting intention figures, with changes from YouGov's last poll, of CON 47%(+1), LAB 25%(-3), LDEM 18%(+3). The poll was conducted on the 10th and 11th July. It looks like a drop for Labour, but the

By Anthony Wells 12 Jul 2008
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