Labour up in latest ICM poll

ICM's monthly poll for the Guardian has topline voting intention figures, with changes from their last poll, of CON 43%(-2), LAB 28%(+3), LDEM 19%(-1). The poll was conducted between the 18th and 20th July.

We're getting some contradictory messages from the polls this month. Populus and ICM are both showing Labour recovering from their nadir, YouGov and ComRes show things pretty much as they were. Of course, it's easy to exaggerate the differences - the broader picture is still that all are showing the Conservatives up in the 40s and Labour in the mid to high 20s.

The other questions in the poll revealed the deep pessimism over the economy that has become typical in recent polls. 61% are not confident about their finances, 60% say they are cutting spending and 80% think we are headed for recession. David Cameron and George Osborne now have a 19% lead over Gordon Brown and Alistair Darling on which team people most trust to run the economy.

For those who got excited about that 5% for the Greens in Sunday's ComRes poll. they are at 2% in this poll.

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