After a narrowing of the Tory lead yesterday, today we have the first poll since David Cameron's conference speech and it shows a swing back to them. The topline figures are CON 44%(+4), LAB 27%(-4), LDEM 17%(-1). It's a four point boost for
Interesting daily YouGov figures today - toplines are CON 40%(-3), LAB 31%(+2), LDEM 18%(+2) - others remain down at 11%. A Labour boost certainly wasn't what we expect to see at the Conservative conference, yet this is Labour's highest level of support in
Today's YouGov daily poll is the first chance to gauge opinion since George Osborne's speech yesterday, characterised in the media as something of a gamble: normally oppositions seeking election do not make speeches setting out their instruments of torture. To be honest, even it this did
YouGov's daily polling figures are CON 41%(+1), LAB 28(+1), LDEM 18%(-2). No massive change there, and no sign of a Conservative boost yet, their lead remains at 13 points. Tomorrow will have the first reaction to pensions and George Osborne's speech. In other
Last week I put up an open thread for discussion of the Labour party conference, now it's the turn of the Conservatives. Normal rules about trying to be non-partisan and occassionally staying on topic are suspended for this thread, so knock yourselves out.
There is some new Populus polling in the Times tomorrow. Populus found 28% thought that the party seemed to have changed under David Cameron and "that is why they are doing so much better", with 68% thinking at the party hadn't changed much and were "
Start of the final week of conference season, so we're back onto the daily YouGov polls. These are the first figures from the Conservative conference, though their first evening was dominated by fuss about Europe. The topline figures, with changes from the YouGov poll yesterday, are CON 40%
There is a new ComRes poll in the Independent on Sunday. The topline figures, with changes from their poll a week ago, are CON 40%(+2), LAB 28%(+5), LDEM 19%(-4). The figures are almost identical to YouGov's in the People. ComRes's last poll was
There is a new YouGov poll in the People tomorrow. Topline figures are CON 40%, LAB 28%, LDEM 18%. Changes seem rather pointless, since this will have been done at roughly the same time as the last YouGov daily poll (for the record that was 41/29/17, so all
PolitcsHome have released the full report for their updated marginals polls - it covered just short of 240 seats, with a sample of around 35000. It is a repeated of their 2008 exercise, using exactly the same seats and the same methodology so we can see how the picture has
The Guardian is reporting an updated version of PoliticsHome's huge poll of marginal seats. As they did last year, PoliticsHome polled around 34,000 people in 238 marginal seats, divided into 17 groups of similar seats to make a projection of how people would vote in a general
Today's YouGov daily figures are CON 41%(+1), LAB 29%(+3), LDEM 17%(-3). There's obviously some jumping around here from sampling error, so it's important to look at the trend rather than the day to day changes. Labour are up again, but below
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