Tonight's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 37%(nc), LAB 34%(+2), LDEM 17%(nc). Leaving aside that 2 pointer for the Sunday Times, which in hindsight was probably something of a rogue, it's the lowest Conservative lead YouGov have shown since
YouGov's daily poll has figures of CON 37%(+1), LAB 32%(nc), LDEM 17%(-3). It looks as though that sudden 20% for the Lib Dems yesterday was no more than a blip, and we are back to a 5 point Conservative lead. We are still within the
Polls in northern Ireland are very rare creatures, not least because they have a rather poor record. There is a strong tendency for them to under-report the proportion of people voting for parties at the more hardline ends of the political spectrum, and over-report those in the centre. I am
Tonight's YouGov daily polling has topline figures of CON 36%(-3), LAB 32%(-2), LDEM 20%(+4). After a fortnight or so of leads within one percent of 6 points, we have something ever so slightly different. The lead hasn't changed much, and is still very
There is a Populus poll of marginal seats in tomorrow's Times, Peter Riddell's commentary is here. The headline figures in the poll is CON 38%, LAB 38% and this has resulted in a flurry of excitement from twitterers, but what it means depends upon which seats
YouGov's daily poll has topline figures of CON 39%(+1), LAB 34%(+1), LDEM 16%(-1). The lead remains at 5 points, but both the main parties have increased with the Lib Dems down to 16 points again. As I said at the weekend while writing about ICM&
Following new polls from TNS BMRB and a rare sighting of a Harris poll, we have another new entrant - this is shaping up to be an extremely heavily polled election! Anyway, tomorrow's Express has a new poll from Opinium - who they? Looking at their website here,
Two new national polls tonight: YouGov's daily poll in the Sun and a new entrant in the Express - Opinium Research. They have topline figures of CON 37%, LAB 30%, LDEM 16% - but more on that later. We will also have a new poll from Populus in
There are unlikely to be any polls out tonight, so in response to public demand (and organised by Al J), here's a thread for your general election predictions. Please try and keep this thread for general election predictions, rather than wander off onto other subjects.
As well as the ICM and YouGov polls I reported last night, there is also a BPIX poll in the Mail on Sunday. The topline figures with changes from January are CON 36%(-3), LAB 34%(+4), LDEM 18%(nc). The poll was of 5655 people, so large enough to
According to the Press Association, YouGov's daily poll for the Sunday Times meanwhile has topline figures of CON 38%(nc), LAB 33%(+1), LDEM 17%(nc). Once again, there is no significant change and no sign of the Conservative recovery that ICM picked up. Other than the 2
There is a new ICM poll in tomorrow's News of the World. ICM's previous poll was in mid February, just as the polls started to really narrow, and showed the Conservatives down to 37% and their lead down to 7 points, the lowest they had recorded
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