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ICM and Opinium show Conservatives recovering

There are three new polls out tonight, so far we have ICM and Opinium with YouGov to follow later. Opinium for the Express have topline figures, with changes from a week ago, of CON 39%(+2), LAB 28%(-2), LDEM 16%(nc). Others are presumably still at or around 17%

By Anthony Wells 15 Mar 2010

<i>Too</i> frequently asked questions

As we get closer to the election there will be more and more attention paid to polls, and sadly there will be more and more comments like those below - look, for example, at the horrors that crop up in the BBC "Have Your Say" section. Clearly none

By Anthony Wells 15 Mar 2010

YouGov Sunday Times poll - 37/33/17

Sky News are reporting tonight's YouGov poll for the Sunday Times as having topline figures of CON 37%(nc), LAB 33%(-1), LDEM 17%(nc). There is clearly no significant change in the voting intention, and YouGov now seem to be showing lead of around 4 or 5

By Anthony Wells 13 Mar 2010

ICM show 7 point Tory lead

There is an ICM poll in tomorrow's Sunday Telegraph. The topline figures are CON 38%(-2), LAB 31%(nc), LDEM 21%(+3). Changes are from ICM's last poll at the start of March. There's a drop in Conservative support and a boost for the

By Anthony Wells 13 Mar 2010

YouGov Daily Poll - 37/34/17 - UPDATED

Tonight's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 37%(nc), LAB 34%(+2), LDEM 17%(nc). Leaving aside that 2 pointer for the Sunday Times, which in hindsight was probably something of a rogue, it's the lowest Conservative lead YouGov have shown since

By Anthony Wells 11 Mar 2010

YouGov Daily Poll - 37/32/17

YouGov's daily poll has figures of CON 37%(+1), LAB 32%(nc), LDEM 17%(-3). It looks as though that sudden 20% for the Lib Dems yesterday was no more than a blip, and we are back to a 5 point Conservative lead. We are still within the

By Anthony Wells 10 Mar 2010

Northern Ireland polling

Polls in northern Ireland are very rare creatures, not least because they have a rather poor record. There is a strong tendency for them to under-report the proportion of people voting for parties at the more hardline ends of the political spectrum, and over-report those in the centre. I am

By Anthony Wells 10 Mar 2010

YouGov daily figures - 36/32/20 - UPDATED

Tonight's YouGov daily polling has topline figures of CON 36%(-3), LAB 32%(-2), LDEM 20%(+4). After a fortnight or so of leads within one percent of 6 points, we have something ever so slightly different. The lead hasn't changed much, and is still very

By Anthony Wells 09 Mar 2010

Populus poll of marginal seats

There is a Populus poll of marginal seats in tomorrow's Times, Peter Riddell's commentary is here. The headline figures in the poll is CON 38%, LAB 38% and this has resulted in a flurry of excitement from twitterers, but what it means depends upon which seats

By Anthony Wells 08 Mar 2010

YouGov Daily Poll - 39/34/16

YouGov's daily poll has topline figures of CON 39%(+1), LAB 34%(+1), LDEM 16%(-1). The lead remains at 5 points, but both the main parties have increased with the Lib Dems down to 16 points again. As I said at the weekend while writing about ICM&

By Anthony Wells 08 Mar 2010

"Opinium" poll in the Express shows 7 point Tory lead - UPDATED

Following new polls from TNS BMRB and a rare sighting of a Harris poll, we have another new entrant - this is shaping up to be an extremely heavily polled election! Anyway, tomorrow's Express has a new poll from Opinium - who they? Looking at their website here,

By Anthony Wells 08 Mar 2010

Tonight's polls

Two new national polls tonight: YouGov's daily poll in the Sun and a new entrant in the Express - Opinium Research. They have topline figures of CON 37%, LAB 30%, LDEM 16% - but more on that later. We will also have a new poll from Populus in

By Anthony Wells 08 Mar 2010
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