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Final predictions

Ipsos-MORI's final poll will be in the Evening Standard tomorrow, but apart from that all the other final polls are out. CONLABLDEMCon Lead Populus372827+9 ComRes372828+9 Opinium352726+8 ICM362826+8 YouGov352828+7 Angus Reid362429+7 Harris352927+6 TNS BMRB332729+4 There you go. Yesterday I said I

By Anthony Wells 05 May 2010

Final Polls

First out of the stalls is Opinium for the Express - CON 35%(+2), LAB 27%(-1), LDEM 26%(-1). Others are presumably around 12. I will update as the rest of the final polls come in tonight. UPDATE: Secondly we have TNS BMRB - CON 33%(-1), LAB 27%

By Anthony Wells 05 May 2010

YouGov final Scottish poll

There is a final Scottish poll from YouGov in the Scotsman this morning. Topline figures are CON 17%, LAB 37%, LDEM 22%, SNP 21%. These show very little change from the 2005 election - the Conservatives are up 1, Labour down 2, the Liberal Democrats down 1 and the SNP

By Anthony Wells 05 May 2010

Harris/Metro - 36/26/28

There is a new(ish) Harris poll in this morning's Metro. Topline figures are CON 36%(+3), LAB 26%(+2), LDEM 28%(-4). The changes are from a poll a week ago, thought the fieldwork actually overlapped with one, which was conducted between the 28th April and 4th

By Anthony Wells 05 May 2010

ComRes/ITV/Indy - 37/29/26

Sky have published the results of today's ComRes poll for ITV and the Indy. The topline figures with changes from yesterday are CON 37%(nc), LAB 29%(nc), LDEM 26%(nc) - so no difference at all. There is clearly no sign of a Lib Dem collapse here,

By Anthony Wells 04 May 2010

YouGov poll of Wales

ITV Wales have a new YouGov poll of voting intentions in Wales. Topline figures are CON 27%(+4), LAB 35%(+2), LDEM 23%(-6), PC 10%(+1). Changes are from this poll at the height of the Lib Dem surge, hence the large falling back. Fieldwork was done yesterday and

By Anthony Wells 04 May 2010

YouGov/Sun - 35/30/24

Tonight's YouGov poll has topline figures of CON 35%(nc), LAB 30%(+2), LDEM 24%(-4), a sharp drop for the Liberal Democrats. Just when it was looking as though the position had settled down, we suddenly have a shift in support. It could be the "Cleggmania&

By Anthony Wells 04 May 2010

Northern Ireland polling

The Belfast Telegraph have the only poll of Northern Ireland in the campaign so far, carried out by Inform Communications. Polling in Northern Ireland does not have a stellar record of success, but for the record their topline figures are DUP 26%, Sinn Fein 25%, SDLP 17%, UCUNF 13%, Alliance

By Anthony Wells 04 May 2010

Looking towards the final polls

We are rapidly heading towards the final round of polling before the election - I expect most will emerge tomorrow evening, though we could in theory have some final calls tonight (there will be YouGov and ComRes polls tonight, but I expect they will both also have polls tomorrow). The

By Anthony Wells 04 May 2010

Crosby Textor poll of marginals

The Telegraph tomorrow has a new poll of marginal seats carried out by Crosby/Textor, conducted in the 140 Labour seats where the Conservatives need the smallest swing to win, and the 20 Lib Dem seats where the Conservatives need the smallest swing to win. Full details of the polling

By Anthony Wells 03 May 2010

ComRes - 37/29/26

I'm not quite sure why ITV persist with a 10pm embargo on their ComRes polls, I think the ComRes poll has ended up coming out before that every single night of the campaign! Anyway, since it is already being reported elsewhere I may as well put it up,

By Anthony Wells 03 May 2010

YouGov/Sun - 35/28/28

Tonight's YouGov poll has topline figures of CON 35%(+1), LAB 28%(nc), LDEM 28%(-1). No significant change there - YouGov's figures have been within 1 point of these scores for five days now. Someone has also pointed out a new Welsh poll today, from

By Anthony Wells 03 May 2010
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