Technical Problems

I am - self evidently! - having some technical problems, so the site may be up and down and back and forth over the next few hours until the problems are sorted out.

Latest Scottish polling

There are two Scottish polls out today. Firstly there was an ICM poll in the Scottish Sun - full VI figures were: Holyrood constituency: CON 12%, LAB 39%, LDEM 10%, SNP 35% Holyrood regional: CON 13%, LAB 37%, LDEM 9%, SNP 34% ICM have not polled in Scotland recently, so

MORI/Reuters - CON 37, LAB 41, LDEM 10

Ipsos MORI's monthly political monitor for Reuters has been released. Topline figures are CON 37%(+4), LAB 41%(-2), LDEM 10%(-3). Two things are worth noting - firstly the importance of turnout here. Almost the whole of this reduction in the Labour lead is down to likelihood

Round up: AV, Libya and pensions

Here's a few nuggets I missed from polls over the last few days. First YouGov have repeated a question they first asked back in 2010 on how well people understand electoral systems (or think they understand them!), including the Alternative Vote. Last year 68% of people said they

YouGov/Sun - CON 35, LAB 44, LDEM 9

Tonight's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 35%, LAB 44%, LDEM 9%. While it's not as high as the two eleven point leads we saw at the end of last week, it is more evidence that there's been a move

Sunday round up

First up, there is a new Scottish poll today by Progressive Scottish Opinion. Topline figures are... Holyrood constituency: CON 11%, LAB 43%, LDEM 5%, SNP 37% Holyrood regional: CON 11%, LAB 44%, LDEM 4%, SNP 37% Secondly there's a clarification about the ComRes AV poll from last night

YouGov/Sunday Times - CON 33, LAB 44, LDEM 10

My expectation was that YouGov's 11 point Labour lead on Thursday night would turn out to be a rogue, and that today's poll would be more in line with the lead of 6 or 7 points that we've been seeing lately. However, the actual

ComRes show NO ahead in AV referendum

In my round up of AV polling earlier this week I said that while different companies were showing different topline figures, all the companies that had polled in the last month or so were united in showing the tide moving in the direction of the NO camp. ComRes's

YouGov/Sun - CON 34, LAB 45, LDEM 9

Tonight's daily YouGov/Sun poll has topline figures of CON 34%, LAB 45%, LDEM 9%, Others 12%. An eleven point lead for Labour is the largest lead YouGov have shown since the election. Over the last few weeks YouGov have been showing an average lead of around about

YouGov Wales poll would give Labour a majority

YouGov's monthly(ish) Welsh poll for ITV Wales is out. It was conducted after the results of the Welsh referendum were known. Topline figures with changes from last month are: Constituency: CON 20%(-1), LAB 48%(+3), LDEM 7%(nc), Plaid 19%(-2) Regional: CON 20%(nc), LAB

YouGov/Sun - CON 36, LAB 42, LDEM 9

Tonight's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 36%, LAB 42%, LDEM 9% - all pretty much as usual for the daily polling. One thing this is worth noting is that other parties are collectively at 14%, which is the highest that YouGov have had

The latest AV referendum polling

Different companies and different questions are showing a wide variety of different results on the AV referendum, but they all show the tide moving in the NO campaign's direction. At one end YouGov's latest poll, prompted with explanations of what the AV and FPTP systems are,