YouGov/Sun - CON 34, LAB 45, LDEM 9

Tonight's daily YouGov/Sun poll has topline figures of CON 34%, LAB 45%, LDEM 9%, Others 12%. An eleven point lead for Labour is the largest lead YouGov have shown since the election.

Over the last few weeks YouGov have been showing an average lead of around about 7 points, with the Conservatives normally between 35%-38%, Labour normally between 41%-44%, so this is outside the recent trend. As always when a voting intention poll shows something out of the ordinary, I'd urge caution until we see it supported elsewhere - it may be a shift towards Labour... or the Sunday Times poll on Saturday night may show it was just a rogue. We'll see.

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