ComRes show Tory lead down to 7 points

Anthony Wells

— 1 min read
Share

There is a ComRes poll out tonight. The full details are embargoed until ten o'clock, but Andrew Grice has already posted that the Conservative lead is down to seven points, from points in ComRes's previous poll a week and a half ago.

I'll update at ten, but certainly this poll appears to be echoing the trend we've seen in all the other polls since the country officially exited recession on Tuesday. So far Ipsos MORI, YouGov, BPIX and ComRes have all shown the Tory lead shrinking and heading into hung Parliament territory.

I think that Populus's monthly poll may also have been conducted over the weekend - if it was, we should get that tonight or tomorrow as well.

UPDATE: The full figures are CON 38%(nc), LAB 31%(+2), LDEM 19%(nc), so the narrowing of the lead is down to Labour increasing their support - like YouGov, BPIX and MORI, ComRes have Labour up above 30% and in the case of ComRes it is the first time for almost exactly a year.

37% of people agreed that Labour can take credit for getting Britain out of recession (a minority - 59% disagreed - but obviously 37% is more people than actually support Labour, so is probably not a bad finding). The other additional questions aren't particularly enlightening. 40% said they trusted Brown more than Cameron to help the economy to recover (52% disagreed, but obviously we can't automatically stick them in the Cameron column as they may be people who trust them both, or trust neither of them). The same applies to the 24% of people who believe the recession would have ended earlier if the Tories had been in power - the 69% of people who disagreed can't be taken to be people who think the Tories would have done worse, some will think the two parties would have done equally well or badly.

Finally 82% said they agreed that Cameron should be clearer over what he would do about the economy. The Indy have put this as a subheading on their front page, but frankly it's a fairly pointless question. A good sign of a decent question is whether anyone can really agree with the opposite - and how many normal people would say "I think David Cameron should be much vaguer and less clear about his plans for the economy"?

Read more