Focaldata
It will probably be worth all the polling companies who conduct MRP (all listed helpfully here by Peter Ingelsby) coming together to do a post mortem after the event to diagnose the cause of the large spread / range of forecasts. This is separate, but related to the range of vote
Focaldata
Best for Britain have just released a new MRP poll, leading with the projection that Labour would be sat on 470 seats - which would amount to a majority of 290. The figure came about on a Labour vote share lead of 12%, with the party on 35% to the
YouGov
The SNP are on course to have their worst result in a General Election since 2010, according to a new MRP poll from YouGov. Following the recent downturn in the party's fortune, Labour looks set to recuperate swathes of their historic heartlands, paving the way for a more
Immigration
UnHerd Britain has released the latest update from their MRP question series, conducted with focaldata. It asks about immigration - and paints a stark picture. Freddie Sayers promoted the findings with the claim that of all the statements posed so far, none had as much agreement across the country as
Savanta
Savanta have recently published the results of an MRP poll conducted alongside Electoral Calculus and it makes gripping reading. The poll gives Labour 482 seats to the Conservatives' 69. That's a majority of 314. Amongst the headline findings are a Conservative wipe-out North of Lincolnshire. Naturally the
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