Whenever two high profile polls come out at the same time I see lots of confused comments asking about who is right, or how come the polls are showing such different things. Today we have the well publicised ICM poll showing Labour and the Conservatives neck-and-neck and the regular YouGov/
ICM's monthly poll for the Guardian has topline figures of CON 36%, LAB 36%, LD 13%, UKIP 7%. Since last month it shows a slump in UKIP support and a recovery for the Conservatives. As ever, the more unusual a polls findings the more careful you should be
We haven't had a Populus poll so far this year since their contract with the Times ended. Today they re-enter the field, but using an online methodology. Topline figures are CON 31%, LAB 38%, LDEM 13%, UKIP 10%. Obviously there are no changes since their previous poll given
I've been out and about today so haven't had chance to do my normal write up of the YouGov Sunday Times poll. For the record the full tables are here, and the topline voting intention figures are CON 30%, LAB 41%, LDEM 10%, UKIP 13%. The
ComRes have their monthly online poll for the Independent and Sunday Mirror out tonight. Topline figures are CON 28%(+2), LAB 36%(+1), LDEM 8%(-2), UKIP 18%(-1). The Labour lead of eight points is pretty much the same as we've been seeing in YouGov's
This morning's YouGov poll for the Sun had topline figures of CON 32%, LAB 37%, LD 11%, UKIP 12%. The five point lead is right at the bottom of YouGov's current range - we had a couple at the beginning of July, but other than that
Ipsos MORI have released a fascinating chunk of polling on how people's perceptions differ from reality - report here and full toplines here. A lot of the poll won't be anything new to regular readers. We've all seen previous polls showing that the general
YouGov's daily poll for the Sun this morning has topline figures of CON 34%, LAB 40%, LDEM 10%, UKIP 10%. For the record the 34% for the Conservatives is the highest since early February. Out yesterday there were also some more results from YouGov's poll of
This week's YouGov poll for the Sunday Times is now up online here. Topline voting intention is CON 33%, LAB 39%, LDEM 11%, UKIP 12% The leaders approval ratings are minus 20 for Cameron (from minus 17 last week), minus 34 for Miliband (from minus 31 last week)
This morning's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 31%, LAB 39%, LDEM 11%, UKIP 12%. That's the third poll in a row showing an eight point lead, so it looks as though the further narrowing at the start of the week was
Last week Lord Ashcroft released some new polling on Boris Johnson and I said I'd write more about him in a couple of days time. Alas I should have been quicker, for everyone is now busy fussing about Unite and Tom Watson, but the what the hell! I&
Last summer I did a post looking at the "house effects" of each polling company, that is - the party partisan effects of each company's methodology. We know, for example, that ICM reallocate their don't knows which helps the Lib Dems, that Survation prompt
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