ICM show Labour and Tories neck and neck

ICM's monthly poll for the Guardian has topline figures of CON 36%, LAB 36%, LD 13%, UKIP 7%. Since last month it shows a slump in UKIP support and a recovery for the Conservatives. As ever, the more unusual a polls findings the more careful you should be - it could be a sign of UKIP support collapsing back towards the Conservatives, or could just be sample error. In YouGov's polls over the last month we have seen some hints of a narrowing of the Lab lead and signs of UKIP support fading, and ICM do tend to show the lowest levels of UKIP support and relatively low Lab leads - all the same it looks quite odd. I would wait and see if it is repeated in other polls before getting too over-excited.

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Latest General Election Projection: Knife Edge Coalitions

Local Elections Expectations Management