There is a new YouGov poll in the Sunday Times. Topline voting intention figures, with changes from YouGov's poll a week ago, are apparently CON 41%(+1), LAB 27%(nc), LDEM 17%(-1) (I haven't seen it on the Sunday Times website yet, so await formal
There is a new Scottish Ipsos-MORI poll, apparently carried out for Holyrood Magazine but reported in the Sunday Express tomorrow. Topline voting intention figures are: Westminster: CON 18%, LAB 27%, LDEM 14%, SNP 33% Holyrood constituency: CON 15%, LAB 25%, LDEM 15%, SNP 38%, GRN 3% Holyrood regional: CON 15%
(for introduction and part one go here) Summer 2007 - Gordon Brown and the wasted bounce The Conservatives first established a steady lead in Spring 2006. The trigger was "Labour's black Wednesday" - the combination of several bad news stories that came within a day of
Back at the start of August I promised you a round-up of the political position as we go into the final Parliamentary term of the election. August has been and gone, and I've failed to deliver! The truth is it grew. From being a look at the last
Yesterday I wrote that to get a better idea of regional differences in swings you really need either properly weighted regional polls, or at least specially commissioned large scale polls. Sadly I can't offer you the former, but electoralcalculus have dug out the figures for the big YouGov
There is a new ComRes poll in tomorrow's Indy. Topline figures, with changes from their last poll a fortnight ago, are CON 40%(-1), LAB 24%(nc), LDEM 21%(+3). So, an insignificant drop for the Conservatives, but a jump in Lib Dem support. That's the
I seem to spend an inordinate amount of time telling people not to look at regional splits in polls and get all excited about them, so here goes again: regional splits in individual voting intention polls rarely tell you anything at all. The Telegraph today has looked at their Yougov
Today's Telegraph has a new YouGov poll with topline figures (with changes from their poll a week ago) of CON 40%(-2), LAB 27%(-1), LDEM 18%(+1). Others are up 1 at 15%. Changes are all very minor, but it is the lowest Conservative lead from YouGov
Two nuggets of polling today. Firstly Mike Smithson has the voting intention figures from the SNP's YouGov poll, which shows a drop in support for the Liberal Democrats since YouGov's previous Scottish poll a week earlier. Holyrood Constituency: CON 16%(nc), LAB 28%(+1), LDEM 14%
There is yet another Scottish poll asking if people agree or disagree with Abdelbaset Ali Mohmed Al-Megrahi's release from prison. This time it was commissioned by the SNP and carried out by YouGov, and for the first time it shows support and opposition to the decision equal, both
There is a new YouGov poll in tomorrow's Sun. Topline figures, with changes from YouGov's previous poll are CON 42%(nc), LDEN 28%(+2), LDEM 17%(-1). YouGov's last poll was done just one day before this, with their fieldwork periods overlapping, so it&
Here's a number 138 for John Rentoul's list of "questions to which the answer is no". The Observer's report of Ipsos MORI's monthly poll contained this rather interesting nugget: "if turnout were to hit an unusual high of 78%
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