MORI shows SNP 6 points ahead in Scotland

There is a new Scottish Ipsos-MORI poll, apparently carried out for Holyrood Magazine but reported in the Sunday Express tomorrow.

Topline voting intention figures are:

Westminster: CON 18%, LAB 27%, LDEM 14%, SNP 33% Holyrood constituency: CON 15%, LAB 25%, LDEM 15%, SNP 38%, GRN 3%

~~Holyrood regional: CON 15%, LAB 25%, LDEM 15%, SNP 38%, GRN 3%~~

Slightly odd that the two sets of Holyrood voting intention are identical, we normally see some contrast (especially for the Greens), but till the tables appear that's what we've got.

UPDATE: The Sunday Express report has this equating to 25 Westminster seats. On my sums it doesn't - must be an electoralcalculus job. On a uniform swing it would produce 4 Conservative seats, 26 Labour, Lib Dem 10 and SNP 19.

UPDATE2: The mystery of the regional and constituency figures being the same has been solved. They aren't only not the same, the regional figures don't actually even exist. Only Holyrood constituency voting intention was asked. Sorry!

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