Let's start with what the polls are actually showing. The Conservatives level of support has fallen to around 39%. Of the ten polls this month, 7 have put them below forty, when every single poll in October had them at 40 or above, so it's pretty
It was supposed to be embargoed till 10 o'clock, but Andrew Grice's sneak preview of the poll gives it all away anyway! The topline figures with changes from ComRes's last poll are CON 37%(-2), LAB 27%(+2), LDEM 20%(+3). Others are at
Over the weekend Switzerland voted in a referendum to ban Minarets (the spires on Mosques from which Muslims are called to prayer), the result of the vote was 57.5% in favour. Interestingly though the final poll before the referendum showed the opposite - voting intention in the referendum stood
There is a new Scottish Ipsos MORI poll in the Sunday Times. The Sunday Times highlight that only 20% of people support full Scottish independence, though notably this was not a strauight YES/NO question asking voting intention in a referendum on Scottish independence. Rather it was a question asking
YouGov's monthly poll for the Telegraph is now out. The topline figures, with changes from YouGov's last poll, are CON 39%(-2), LAB 29%(+2), LDEM 19%(+1). A two point change in Conservative and Labour support is, of course, within the margin of error, but
The Telegraph has a new Scottish poll from YouGov. Looking at topline voting intentions first, Westminster support (with changes from way back in August) stand at CON 18%(-2), LAB 39%(+9), LDEM 12%(-6), SNP 24%(-2). As with the recent TNS-BMRB poll, it shows a real strengthening of
After the six point lead from Ipsos MORI, we now have a 17 point lead from Angus Reid. The topline figures, as I mentioned in my brief post below, are CON 39%(+1), LAB 22%(-2), LDEM 21%(+1). Others are unchanged on 18%. The poll was conducted over the
Mike Smithson has the latest Angus Reid poll for PoliticalBetting, conducted over the weekend just gone. The topline figures are CON 39%(+1) LAB 22%(-2) LDEM 21%(+1). I'm on the way to a meeting, and will post properly on my return - in the meantime feel
Just to illustrate a post I made a fortnight or so ago. At the time Jackie Ashley was assuring us that Labour's private polling "suggests that Labour could return to the Commons with just 120 MPs or thereabouts, taking the party back to 1930s territory." To
The tables for Ipsos MORI's poll are now up on their website, so we can dig about and see what's actually happened. Regular readers will know that the big difference between MORI and other pollsters is that MORI do not politically weight their sample. All the
There is a new(ish) Ipsos MORI poll in the Observer. The topline figures, with changes from MORI's previous poll in mid-October, are CON 37%(-6), LAB 31%(+5), LDEM 17%(-2). The poll was actually conducted last weekend at the same time as ICM's Guardian
There was some speculation in the last couple of days about whether the Queen's Speech will shift the political terrain. We won't know until the next round of polls arrive, but I would be very surprised if they were the beginning of any significant change for
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