ComRes too show Tory lead down to 10 points
It was supposed to be embargoed till 10 o'clock, but Andrew Grice's sneak preview of the poll gives it all away anyway! The topline figures with changes from ComRes's last poll are CON 37%(-2), LAB 27%(+2), LDEM 20%(+3). Others are at 16%, high compared to some other companies, but down three points from the rather anomalous 19% in ComRes's last poll.
The small swing from the Conservatives to Labour is in line with YouGov in the Telegraph at the weekend, and the general trend in recent polls of showing a movement back towards Labour. This is the third recent poll to show figures that on a uniform swing would leave the Conservatives narrowly short of an overall majority.
As I said at the weekend, I expect in practice a 10 point lead would produce a Conservative lead, there is some evidence to suggest they are performing slightly better in marginals and it would be surprising if a ten point Tory lead did not produce a different pattern of tactical voting than when they were behind. All the same, it is a much less comfortable position for the Tories.
