The monthly ICM poll for the Guardian shows a solid lead for the NO campaign in the AV referendum. Excluding don't knows and won't says, and weighted by likelihood to vote, the topline figures are YES 42%(-7), NO 58%(+7). Changes are from February. Without
First, there is a new YouGov Scottish poll in Scotland on Sunday. Topline figures there, with changes from a fortnight ago, are: Constituency vote: CON 11%(nc), LAB 37%(-2), LDEM 8%(+3), SNP 40%(nc) Regional vote: CON 12%(nc), LAB 33%(-6), LDEM 7%(+2), SNP 35%(+3)
The weekly YouGov/Sunday Times poll is out and has topline figures of CON 37%, LAB 41%, LDEM 9%. Four points is a slightly lower Labour lead than we've seen from YouGov lately, but nothing that couldn't easily be just normal random variation. Meanwhile the figures
There is a new ComRes poll out for the Indy on Sunday. Topline voting intention figures, with changes from ComRes's previous online poll a month ago, are CON 35%(-2), LAB 39%(-1), LDEM 10%(-1), Others 15%(+3). A four point Labour lead is pretty typical of
ITV Wales have published the latest YouGov Welsh voting intention figures. Topline voting intention figures with changes from the last poll at the end of March are: Welsh constituency: CON 20%(-1), LAB 49%(+2), LDEM 8%(nc), PC 17%(nc) Welsh regional: CON 20%(nc), LAB 44%(-1), LDEM
I've been laid low with the dreaded lurgi, hence sparse posting over the last few days. Tonight's YouGov figures are CON 36%, LAB 42%, LDEM 10%. Will hopefully be back in the saddle soon!
Tonight's YouGov poll has topline figures of CON 37%, LAB 42%, LDEM 9%. More interesting is the Alternative Vote tracker - on the bare referendum question, weighted by likelihood to vote, YouGov are now showing a lead for the NO campaign. Yes are on 37%, No are on
After I'd given up and decided it wasn't coming after all, the Times's monthly Populus poll did appear after all last night. Topline figures are CON 36%(+1), LAB 40%(-1), LDEM 11%(nc) - so no significant change from last month. Populus and
There is a new Angus Reid voting intention poll out, topline figures are CON 31%, LAB 42%, LDEM 11%, Others 16%. This is the lowest figure any company has shown for the Conservatives since the height of Cleggmania last year, but Angus Reid have been showing consistently lower levels of
The full tables for YouGov's Sunday Times poll are now up here. Latest voting intention in the AV referendum is YES 39%, NO 38%, Don't know 22%, so still essentially neck and neck (if it hadn't been weighted by likelihood to vote, it would
Tonight's YouGov poll has topline figures of CON 36%, LAB 43%, LDEM 9% - a seven point Labour lead, so pretty much par for the course in YouGov's recent daily polls. Full update to follow tomorrow once the tables are up.
Looking again at Populus's AV polling earlier this month I spotted something interesting. As you'll recall, Populus asked two questions - one a bare question which found YES on 33% and NO on 37%. The second briefly describing AV in the question which gives NO a
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