YouGov/Sunday Times - CON 32, LAB 40, LD 11, UKIP 10

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I haven't had chance to do my normal round of the YouGov/Sunday Times poll today. For the record the topline figures are CON 32%, LAB 40%, LDEM 11%, UKIP 10%, so another single digit Labour lead following those earlier in the week.

Also out this weekend were Michael Thrasher and Colin Rallings's projections for the local elections next month (based on a model using the data from the various local by-elections held around the country each week). They are expecting Labour to gain 350 seats, Conservatives to lose 310, the Liberal Democrats to lose 130 and UKIP to win 40. Their prediction for the national equivalent vote (the estimate of what the shares of the vote would have been if the whole country had local elections, rather than just the shires - similar to the BBC's projected national share) is CON 29, LAB 38, LD 16, UKIP 11.