YouGov/Sunday Times - 40/38/11

Tonight's YouGov poll for the Sunday Times has topline figures of CON 40%, LAB 38%, LDEM 11%. This puts the Conservatives back ahead in YouGov's poll after over a week of Labour leads or the two parties neck and neck.

From what we've got, it's impossible to be certain of the underlying position. It could be that Labour are still ahead, and this poll is just a bit of an outlier, or it could be that there was a short-term movement against the Conservatives, possibly as a result of the protests against tuition fees, but it has faded away again as the news agenda has moved on.

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Latest General Election Projection: Knife Edge Coalitions

Local Elections Expectations Management