YouGov/Sun - CON 40% LAB 38% LD 10%

The Sun have already tweeted tonight's daily polling figures from YouGov. Topline figures are CON 40%, LAB 38%, LDEM 10%, the first time YouGov have shown a Conservative lead this month.

All my usual caveats apply - sure, it could be a reflection of the troubled time and bad press Ed Miliband has had of late (certainly the best Prime Minister figures in today's poll are cutting, with Cameron leading by 41% to Miliband's 17%), but it could equally just be normal variation within the margin of error. Let's wait and see if it is sustained.

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